Why more ASX mining shares could soon turn to takeover bids

The rush of mining shares merging on the ASX is a good thing, says this expert.

| More on:
two hands shake in close up at the side of a mine. One party is wearing high visibility gear and there is earth and heavy moving equipment in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Those who have been paying attention to ASX mining shares on the stock market over the past couple of years might have noticed a bit of a trend. Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the mining space are all the rage at the moment.

This was brought into sharp focus last month with the blockbuster $60 billion bid for the British miner Anglo American (LSE: AAL). As it currently stands, BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Anglo remain locked in a delicate courtship dance. However, we've seen other marriages that have been proposed and, in some cases, consummated, on the ASX recently.

The merger of the old Newcrest Mining Ltd with US gold mining behemoth Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) last year would probably be the best example. But there are many others.

A long story short, M&A seems to be the flavour of the month.

This might cause some consternation amongst some ASX fans of mining shares. After all, there are plenty of examples throughout the ASX's history of miners embarking on acquisition sprees when they are flush with cash at the height of a commodity cycle, only to shred shareholder capital when prices fall, but debts remain.

However, one ASX expert not only reckons that this latest wave of M&A is good for investors but also predicts that merger activity is still on its way up.

Expert: Don't fear ASX mining share M&A

As reported by the Australian Financial Review, BlackRock Mining Trust's Evy Hambro is telling investors not to fear. Hambro argues that, as a general rule, current conditions mean buying other companies or their assets is cheaper and more efficient for miners than building out new mines themselves.

Hambro, whose fund is the world's largest mining fund, has reportedly chided miners for focusing too much on M&A in the past at the expense of shareholder returns. But those are not concerns he appears to currently hold.

Here's some more of what he said:

Right now what we are seeing … is the cost of building new [mine] capacity has risen, we are seeing higher costs of constructing, we are seeing higher risks … around resource nationalism…

So I think the value of assets trading in the liquid market probably doesn't reflect the fully risk-adjusted cost of building new capacity, and I am sure that has caught the attention of many management teams.

We think M&A is just normal business, and there is a point in the cycle when things tend to pick up a bit…. We would be absolutely in support of companies maintaining that disciplined approach to how they allocate capital, and that is an essential part, I think, of maintaining trust with investors and maximising the returns.

So, no doubt that will come as some welcome assurance for many followers of ASX mining shares who might be feeling a little apprehensive about the M&A boom that we've been witnessing. Let's see which company comes up with a marriage proposal next.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Newmont. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Two miners standing together with a smile on their faces.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 mining shares lead the market for a second week

BHP, Fortescue, and Rio Tinto shares reset their 52-week highs while the ASX 200 rose 0.73%.

Read more »

Construction worker in hard hat pumps fist in front of high-rise buildings.
Resources Shares

Why this fundie is backing ASX mining shares over banks in 2026

Wilson Asset Management lead portfolio manager Matthew Haupt explains his views.

Read more »

Miner holding a silver nugget
Resources Shares

New silver and zinc mining aspirant debuts at a 20% premium in a quick win for shareholders

After a successful debut on the ASX, this company will now press ahead with its major silver and zinc project…

Read more »

Iron ore price Vale dam collapse ASX shares iron ore, iron ore australia, iron ore price, commodity price,
Resources Shares

Whyalla steelworks connection puts a rocket under this resources tech stock's shares

This company's shares have taken off after it said it was working with a bidder for the Whyalla steelworks on…

Read more »

A graphic image of three upward pointing arrows with smoke coming from their bottoms, indicating the arrows are taking off just like the Althea share price today
52-Week Highs

Why Rio Tinto, Evolution Mining and BHP shares just smashed new 52-week highs

BHP, Rio Tinto, and Evolution Mining shares are lifting off today.

Read more »

Machinery at a mine site.
Resources Shares

This ASX 200 resources stock rally stalls, but can it rebound?

Analysts remain positive, but want more clarity.

Read more »

female in hard hat crosses fingers
Resources Shares

Will Mineral Resources shares resume dividends in 2026?

Mineral Resources hasn't paid a dividend since 1H FY24. Here's what the miner said about dividends recently.

Read more »

Woman stepping on big rock in a lake.
Broker Notes

Why this buy rated $1 billion ASX All Ords share is tipped to leap 22%

A leading wealth manager expects more outsized gains from this surging ASX All Ords share.

Read more »