One ASX 200 stock that just upgraded earnings guidance (and one that downgraded)

The fortunes of these companies are very different at present. What's going on?

| More on:
A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A couple of ASX 200 stocks are moving in very different directions on Tuesday morning after updating their respective earnings guidance for FY 2024.

Let's now take a look at which stock has upgraded its guidance for the full year and which one has disappointingly downgraded its expectations.

AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL)

The AGL Energy share price is rising on Tuesday after the energy company released an update on its guidance for FY 2024.

At the time of writing, its shares are currently up almost 7% to $9.95.

According to the release, the company now expects its underlying EBITDA to be between $2,120 million and $2,200 million in FY 2024. This compares to its previous guidance of $2,025 million and $2,175 million.

This represents a sizeable 56% to 61.5% increase on FY 2023's underlying EBITDA of $1,361 million.

Also getting an upgrade was the ASX 200 stock's underlying net profit after tax. This is now expected to be between $760 million and $810 million, compared to its previous guidance of $680 million and $780 million.

In FY 2023, AGL reported underlying net profit after tax of $281 million. This new guidance represents an increase of 170% to 188% year on year.

Management explained that business has been booming during the second half. It said:

The update to guidance reflects the continued strong operational and financial performance of the business since the half year results, due to improved plant availability, flexibility and generation, higher consumer demand over the summer period in New South Wales and Queensland, and continued strong Customer Markets performance.

Sims Ltd (ASX: SGM)

The Sims share price is sinking today after the ASX 200 scrap metal stock downgraded its earnings guidance for FY 2024.

Its shares are currently down a sizeable 9.5% to $10.71.

Management advised that the second-half underlying EBIT will be marginally lower than the first half. This compares to its previous guidance for underlying EBIT "to improve in H2 FY24 compared to HY1 FY24."

Commenting on the guidance downgrade, Sim's CEO and managing director, Stephen Mikkelsen, said:

Ongoing market challenges have continued across the industry. SA Recycling and ANZ Metal have faced increased challenges compared to the first half. Pleasingly, despite North America Metal facing similar market challenges, we anticipate an improved second-half performance as early positive outcomes of the targeted strategies for margin improvement are emerging. We remain confident in the medium to long-term fundamentals, driven by global decarbonisation efforts.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Ten happy friends leaping in the air outdoors.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX managed to recover from a wobble to move higher today.

Read more »

A man in a business suit holds his coffee cup aloft as he throws his head back and laughs heartily.
Resources Shares

ASX mining shares dominate stocks hitting 52-week highs

BHP, Fortescue, Rio Tinto, and Evolution Mining shares are among those that hit 52-week highs today.

Read more »

A man looks down with fright as he falls towards the ground.
52-Week Lows

Opportunity knocks? Broker ratings on 4 ASX shares at 52-week lows

These ASX shares hit fresh 52-week lows today.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

3 of the best ASX 200 stocks to buy in December

Let's see what Bell Potter is recommending to investors.

Read more »

A family walks along the tarmac towards a plane representing more people travelling as ASX travel shares recover
Opinions

Virgin Australia versus Qantas shares: One I'd buy and one I'd sell

The two aviation heavyweights dominate Australia's domestic market.

Read more »

A wide-smiling businessman in suit and tie rips open his shirt to reveal a green t-shirt underneath
Broker Notes

Expert says this barnstorming ASX lithium stock could soar by another 59%

Moving higher?

Read more »

Woman with $50 notes in her hand thinking, symbolising dividends.
Share Market News

Charter Hall Retail REIT unveils December 2025 quarterly distribution

Charter Hall Retail REIT announces a 6.4 cent per unit unfranked distribution for the December 2025 quarter.

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Chalice Mining, Predictive Discovery, Premier Investments, and St Barbara shares are sinking today

These shares are missing out on the good time on Thursday. But why?

Read more »