Santos shares have 'lagged the oil price': Is now the time to buy?

Could this ASX energy share be in the buy zone today?

| More on:
A male oil and gas mechanic wearing a white hardhat walks along a steel platform above a series of gas pipes in a gas plant.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you haven't noticed the rising fortunes of ASX oil and energy shares in recent months, no doubt you would have felt the impacts of a rising oil price at the bowser. Many ASX oil shares have exploded in value recently. But Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) shares have arguably lagged behind.

That's certainly the view of Jed Richards, of investing firm Shaw and Partners.

Speaking to The Bull recently, Richards argued that Santos shares have both "lagged the oil price and sector peers".

Here are his complete remarks:

We expect crude oil prices to continue rising on the back of stronger demand and from Russia and Saudi Arabia extending cuts in oil supplies for the remainder of calendar year 2023. STO has lagged the oil price and sector peers. The company has pieced together an attractive collection of growth assets, which provide a brighter outlook.

When it comes to Santos' peers in the energy space, the company isn't leading the pack. Let's compare the Santos share price to another ASX energy share in Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT).

Over the past month alone. Beach Energy shares have risen 8.3%. That compares against Santos shares' 3.74% gain over the same period. Over the last six months, the Beach Energy share price has risen by 19.4%, while Santos is up 13.9%.

But perhaps this means that it is time to buy Santos shares. After all, if Richards is on the money when it comes to global oil prices, it's entirely possible that Santos has far further to climb, particularly if it closes the performance gap with its peers like Beach Energy as well.

Why this ASX broker is recommending a buy for Santos shares

That's the view of one ASX broker anyway.

As we covered earlier this month, ASX broker Citi currently has a buy rating on the Santos share price. That comes with a 12-month share price target of $9. If realised, this could see Santos rise a robust 13.64% from the $7.92 share price we see at present.

Citi is bullish on Santos shares partly due to the company's recent sale of 2.6% of its stake in its PNG LNG operation to Kumul Petroleum. The broker reckons Santos could continue to sell assets at compelling prices, benefitting shareholders in the process.

No doubt Santos investors will like the sound of that. But we'll have to see what the company pulls out of its hat going forward.

At the current Santos share price, this ASX 200 energy share has a market capitalisation of $25.72 billion, with a dividend yield of 3.16%.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

A uranium plant worker in full protective clothing squats near a radioactive warning sign at the site of a uranium processing plant.
Energy Shares

An Australian energy stock poised for major growth in 2026

An Australian uranium producer could benefit from rising nuclear demand and tighter global supply.

Read more »

Female oil worker in front of a pumpjack.
Energy Shares

Up 34% in 12 months, here's why Amplitude Energy shares can keep rising

Are these energy shares a buy, hold or sell according to Bell Potter?

Read more »

A coal miner wearing a red hard hat holds a piece of coal up and gives the thumbs up sign in his other hand
Energy Shares

Which ASX 200 coal share is this fundie buying more of?

And should you buy it, too?

Read more »

A worker with a clipboard stands in front of a nuclear energy facility.
Energy Shares

Best 3 ASX 200 uranium shares of 2025

Uranium shares flourished as nations adopted policies for locally-produced nuclear power.

Read more »

A man sees some good news on his phone and gives a little cheer.
Energy Shares

Should you buy Paladin Energy shares after its strong update?

Bell Potter has upgraded its valuation for this high-flying uranium stock.

Read more »

Oil worker giving a thumbs up in an oil field.
Energy Shares

Santos shares increase on strong quarterly cash flows

Let's take a look.

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

What's Bell Potter's view on Beach Energy shares after its 9% production dip?

How does the broker view this stock after yesterday's report?

Read more »

A man wearing a suit holds his arms aloft, attached to a large lithium battery with green charging symbols on it.
Energy Shares

Up 10% in a month. Is this ASX lithium stock finally back on track?

Vulcan shares rise after successful production testing at its flagship Lionheart lithium project.

Read more »