Should you buy Qantas shares now that they're cheap?

The besieged airline has seen its stock price plummet 23% since late July.

| More on:
Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you've been reading the newspapers, you would already know Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN)'s reputation is in the toilet.

Just some of the recent scandals have included allegedly selling seats on cancelled flights, illegally sacking 1,683 staff, backflipping on its plan to pocket $500 million worth of customer credits, and currying favour from politicians and family members with luxury lounge access.

Understandably, the share price has nosedived — pun intended — more than 23% since 25 July.

So does this mean the red kangaroo is now a red-hot buy for investors looking for a bargain?

'Asia's worst performing airline stock'

Firstly, it's worth noting that 12 out of 15 analysts currently surveyed on CMC Markets still rate Qantas shares as a buy.

But that sentiment might be starting to turn.

Nine newspapers reported on Tuesday that the aviation stock has copped a downgrade to sell from CLSA equity analyst Justin Barratt.

"[The downgrade is] the first since the business' reputation plummeted after a shocking month.

"Qantas is Asia's worst performing airline stock this month, as first reported by Bloomberg."

Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish was asked on a Market Matters Q&A whether his team would now buy Qantas shares on the dip.

The bad news for the airline is that he doesn't think it's cheap enough yet.

"We aren't fans of Qantas around $5.30, even after its recent 24% pullback."

Qantas shares closed Tuesday at $5.16 apiece.

Upgrade for passengers, but a downgrade for investors?

The harsh reality for Qantas is that it has a lot of spending ahead of it to improve its customer service, in order to rebuild its tattered image.

"The last 5 to 10 years has seen Qantas focus on profitability at the cost of the customer experience," said Gerrish. 

"Short term decisions and a lack of investment in [its] fleet will provide a headwind from here."

That's great for those of us travelling, but not necessarily a positive for investors.

"The next few years will be spent [focusing] more on the customer, which is good for us, but not as good for profitability. 

"Share prices follow earnings over time, so we are neutral observers until further notice, seeing better value/opportunities elsewhere — for now at least."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

A smiling woman in a hat holding a ticket takes selfie inside a Qantas plane next to the window.
Travel Shares

$10,000 invested in Qantas shares two years ago is now worth…

Atop share price gains, 2025 also saw the return of the Qantas dividend.

Read more »

Happy couple looking at a phone and waiting for their flight at an airport.
Travel Shares

Why I would buy Qantas shares in 2026

Qantas is no longer a turnaround story.

Read more »

Smiling woman looking through a plane window.
Travel Shares

Is this the best ASX 200 share to buy today?

This business has a lot of potential, according to many experts.

Read more »

A woman on holiday stands with her arms outstretched joyously in an aeroplane cabin.
Travel Shares

How Qantas shares could catch a welcome uplift in 2026

I think now could be an opportune time to buy Qantas shares. Here’s why.

Read more »

A smiling boy holds a toy plane aloft while a girl watches on from a car near an airport runway.
Travel Shares

Are Qantas shares a buy, hold or sell for 2026?

What's ahead for the airline this year?

Read more »

A smiling boy holds a toy plane aloft while a girl watches on from a car near an airport runway.
Travel Shares

ASX travel shares to watch in 2026

Could these travel shares lift off this year?

Read more »

A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.
Travel Shares

Should you buy Qantas shares for its 5% dividend yield in 2026?

After a strong recovery, Qantas shares now offer a 5% yield. Should income investors consider the airline for 2026?

Read more »

Paper aeroplane rising on a graph, symbolising a rising Corporate Travel Management share price.
Travel Shares

Here's the earnings forecast out to 2030 for Flight Centre shares

Is profit going to jump in the coming years?

Read more »