Macquarie forecasts Appen shares to crash a further 47%

One leading broker is raising the red flag and warning investors off this struggling tech share.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I think it is safe to say that it has been a week to forget for Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) shares.

Since this time last week, the artificial intelligence data services company's shares have fallen over 28%.

This means that Appen shares are now down 65% over the last 12 months.

And just when you thought it was safe to go back into the water, one leading broker is warning investors that there could still be even more declines to come.

A business woman looks unhappy while she flies a red flag at her laptop.

Image Source: Getty Images

Appen shares tipped to sink and sink some more

According to a note out of Macquarie, its analysts have downgraded Appen's shares and taken an axe to their valuation.

The note reveals that Macquarie has downgraded the struggling tech share to an underperform rating and cut its price target by more than half to a lowly $1.18.

Based on the current Appen share price of $2.21, this implies potential downside of almost 47% for investors over the next 12 months.

It also suggests that the whole of Appen is only worth in the region of $150 million. A far cry from its multi-billion dollar market capitalisation a few years ago.

Macquarie has concerns that its poor performance will continue for some time to come, putting pressure on its cash flow and balance sheet.

Thankfully, with the company having no debt, it sees a capital raising as a moderate risk. However, it certainly is possible given how things are going.

Elsewhere, analysts at Morgan Stanley are also feeling bearish. The broker has retained its underweight rating and cut its price target to $2.00.

Morgan Stanley appears concerned how Appen will be able to drive revenue growth while also cutting its costs markedly. All in all, the broker appears to believe investors should stay away until the company has proven its business model.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Appen. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

Two happy and excited friends in euphoria holding a smartphone, after winning in a bet.
Technology Shares

Why Bell Potter says this ASX defence stock could rocket 100%

Bell Potter thinks this speculative stock could double in value.

Read more »

A man flying a drone using a remote controller.
Technology Shares

Up 133% this year and still climbing: Why this ASX tech stock just hit a record high

This ASX tech stock just hit a record high after an exciting US defence update.

Read more »

A young woman sits with her hand to her chin staring off to the side thinking about her investments.
Technology Shares

Could buying Xero shares at $80 make me rich?

After a major pullback, could this be a turning point for long-term investors? I dig deeper into things in this…

Read more »

Robot hand and human hand touching the same space on a digital screen, symbolising artificial intelligence.
Technology Shares

Up 3000% over a year, what's moving this AI company's shares now?

A capital raise has fired up interest in this stock.

Read more »

Wooden blocks spelling rebound with coins on top.
Broker Notes

Can Life360 shares recover from the AI fuelled sell-off?

A leading expert looks into the AI-driven pressure hitting Life360 shares.

Read more »

Smiling couple sitting on a couch with laptops fist pump each other.
Technology Shares

Why I think the WiseTech share price has plenty of upside

Here’s why I think the outlook remains compelling for this fallen tech giant.

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Technology Shares

Why are Megaport shares jumping 9% today?

This stock is having a strong start to the week. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Happy woman and man looking at an iPad.
Technology Shares

Megaport secures $35.4m compute deal and lifts recurring revenue

Megaport secures a new compute contract and posts strong recurring revenue growth while holding FY26 guidance steady.

Read more »