Macquarie share price slides amid banking rout, broker tips 24% upside

Credit Suisse shares plummeted 24% overnight and are taking ASX bank shares down with them today. Is this a buying opportunity?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • ASX bank shares opened lower after Credit Suisse plummeted 24% overnight, stoking fears of a contagion in the global banking system stemming from two US bank collapses 
  • The Macquarie share price is suffering the most among the major ASX bank shares today, opening 4% lower at $170.96
  • Broker Morgans has an add rating on Macquarie shares with a 12-month price target of $214.51 

The Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) share price opened 4% lower today at $170.96 amid the S&P/ASX 200 (ASX: XJO) tumbling by more than 130 points.

This follows tumultuous trading sessions overnight across Europe and in the United States after shares in Credit Suisse Group AG (SWX: CSGN) plummeted 24%, prompting a halt in trading.

Credit Suisse is Switzerland's second-biggest bank.

Investors fear a contagion in the global banking system stemming from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank in the US over the past week.

All this drama is having a flow-on effect on ASX bank shares.

Today, they are once again in the red, with the Macquarie share price faring worst.

Let's take a look.

Woman looking at her smartphone and analysing share price.

Image source: Getty Images

What's happening with the Macquarie share price today?

The Macquarie share price is down 3.2% to $172.38 at the time of writing.

Here's what's happening with the other ASX bank shares today:

  • The ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) share price is down 2.4%
  • The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price is down 2.33%
  • The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is down 2%
  • The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is down 1.8%.

The banking majors have all taken a hit following the collapse of SVB last week.

The Macquarie share price has fallen by 7.85% over the past five trading days.

Is the Macquarie share price a buy after a near 8% fall?

So, is this a buy-the-dip opportunity on ASX bank shares — and particularly Macquarie at this price?

As my Fool colleague James reported this week, Morgans is backing the Macquarie share price for significant growth over the next 12 months.

The broker has an add rating on the ASX bank share with a 12-month price target of $214.51.

This implies a potential upside of 24.5% for investors who buy Macquarie shares today.

Morgans likes how Macquarie is travelling in FY23 and cites structural growth opportunities.

Morgans says:

MQG is a quality franchise, exposed to structural growth areas, and the company has performed exceptionally well in a more difficult FY23 environment.

MQG has also consistently delivered attractive returns over time (~15% average ROE) and with >10% share price upside to our price target (A$214), we maintain our ADD recommendation.

Macquarie's FY23 Q3 trading update on 7 February shocked analysts, with fellow broker Goldman Sachs noting it implied that Macquarie has already achieved about 97% of the broker's FY23 profit forecast.

Morgans tips Macquarie to pay a partly franked dividend of $7.41 per share in FY23 and $7.13 in FY24.

Based on today's fallen Macquarie share price, this means dividend yields of 4.3% and 4.1% respectively.

What's the story with Credit Suisse?

As we reported earlier, Credit Suisse stock plunged after its major shareholder, Saudi National Bank (SNB) confirmed overnight that it would not increase its position in the bank.

SNB holds a 9.88% stake in Credit Suisse. It can't buy more because of regulatory restrictions.

Credit Suisse shares had already fallen by 30% since early February before the comments last night.

The 24% freefall that followed prompted an automatic pause in the trading of Credit Suisse shares. The stock has now lost more than 50% of its value since early February.

Credit Suisse also dragged down other European banking stocks and US banking shares overnight.

French banking stock Societe Generale SA fell 12.2% and German bank Commerzbank AG fell 8.7%.

The US Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJX: .DJI) closed down 0.87% while the United Kingdom's FTSE 100 Index fell 3.8%, the biggest single-day loss since Russia invaded Ukraine.

Credit Suisse has been beset with problems for some time now.

The Swiss central bank has pledged to provide Credit Suisse with extra liquidity if required.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in Anz Group, Commonwealth Bank Of Australia, Macquarie Group, and Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

3 reasons to buy CBA shares following its results

CBA's scale and technology remain major strengths in my view.

Read more »

A woman with her hands over her face splits her fingers over one eye so she can peep through it.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares tumble to 52-week low on Thursday: Can they rebound?

Find out what brokers forecast for the ASX bank stock over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Man holding different Australian dollar notes.
Bank Shares

By August 2027, CBA shares could turn $15,000 into…

Here’s what could happen with CBA shares…

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Bank Shares

How high will Judo Capital shares go? Brokers have their say

It's looking like time for these shares to rebound.

Read more »

ASX 200 bank share trading depicted by red buy and sell dice tumbling across a sheet of data in colourful graphics
Broker Notes

With $30 billion in FY26 income, should I buy CBA shares today?

A leading analyst digs into the outlook for CBA’s slipping shares.

Read more »

Calculator next to money.
Bank Shares

Is the NAB share price a buy for its 6% dividend yield?

Is this ASX bank share a buy for dividend income?

Read more »

Arrows with the words up and down.
Bank Shares

2 ASX 200 bank stocks making BIG moves today on results

Investors are piling into one ASX 200 bank share on Tuesday while abandoning a second. But why?

Read more »

Man working on his tablet with hologram of a world map and financial-related charts.
Bank Shares

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank posts FY26 profit as it commits to risk overhaul

Here's what the regional bank expects to report for the year.

Read more »