3 good reasons I'm avoiding CBA shares at all costs!

CBA is a popular ASX share. But that doesn't mean it's a good investment.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares are some of the most popular investments on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO). For many years, CBA was the biggest share on the ASX 200 by market capitalisation. And it remains the largest ASX 200 bank on our share market.

As such, CBA is one of the most common shares to find in an ASX share portfolio. But that doesn't mean it's automatically a good investment.

So today, let's discuss three reasons why I'm personally avoiding CBA shares for my portfolio.

A man stands with his arms crossed in an X shape.

Image source: Getty Images

3 reasons why I'm avoiding CBA shares in 2023

The property market

CBA is one of the banks most heavily exposed to residential property. According to the bank's own numbers, it had a 25% share of Australian home lending as of 31 December 2022, well above its closest competitor's 20%. But with greater market share comes greater risk.

And it's no secret that property prices are facing a lot of pressure right now, thanks to rising interest rates. If rates keep rising and disposable incomes fall further, then CBA might be faced with a spike in loan arrears.

This leads me to believe that CBA might not enjoy the same kinds of prosperity it has in the past from residential property, at least for the next year or two.

CBA shares are expensive

Investors have a special affinity with the CBA share price, thanks to its dominance of the Australian banking sector. But this affinity comes at a cost – investors routinely price this ASX bank share at a premium against its competitors. Let's use a simple metric to demonstrate – the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio.

At present, CBA's big four competitors all have lower P/E ratios than CBA does itself. Right now, ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) has a P/E ratio of 10.2

National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) is at 13.85, while Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) is sitting at 14.27.

But CBA is perched atop this pole with a current P/E of 16.92. Now some might argue that Commonwealth Bank deserves to trade at a premium. But this is a steep one. This indicates to me that this bank's share price is still elevated and doesn't have much of a cushion for any future falls.

You can get better dividends elsewhere

Many ASX investors, especially retirees, love holding CBA shares for their fully franked dividends. And sure, right now, the bank is offering a decent dividend yield of 4.28%.

But you can get far better yields elsewhere. For example, CBA's fellow big bank ANZ currently has a trailing dividend yield above 6%. Its smaller banking rival Bank of Queensland Ltd (ASX: BOQ) has a yield of 6.65% right now. Both come fully franked too.

And even an index exchange-traded fund (ETF) like the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) has a higher trailing yield than CBA. Vanguard Australian Shares ETF units are currently sitting on a trailing yield of 7%.

So I think there are better places to go than CBA if dividend income is your primary motivation for owning this bank share.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in National Australia Bank, Bank of Queensland and Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

What happened with ASX 200 bank stocks like CBA and Westpac in March?

Buying ANZ, NAB, Westpac or CBA shares? Here’s what happened with the big four banks in the war-addled month of…

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Bank Shares

This is the only ASX bank stock I'd keep in my portfolio

I think this is the only ASX bank stock which will storm higher this year.

Read more »

A businesswoman in a suit and holding a briefcase marches higher as she steps from one stack of coins to the next.
Bank Shares

Why experts think this ASX bank share can rise 58% in a year!

This bank has a lot of growth potential, according to experts.

Read more »

A group of five people dressed in black business suits scrabble in a flurry of banknotes that are whirling around them, some in the air, others on the ground as some of them bend to pick up the money.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for CBA shares

CBA could deliver impressive dividends in the next few years.

Read more »

A wad of $100 bills of Australian currency lies stashed in a bird's nest.
Dividend Investing

How many NAB shares do I need to buy for $10,000 a year in passive income?

NAB shares historically pay two fully-franked dividends every year.

Read more »

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Which ASX bank has the biggest dividend yield?

Bank shares are popular for income. Here’s which one currently offers the biggest dividend yield.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

Why NAB shares are slipping today despite a major business reset

NAB shares drift lower amid broader pressure on the banking sector.

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares are climbing following UNITE update

The banking giant's UNITE strategy is gathering momentum.

Read more »