Own Zip shares? Here's an earnings preview

Zip is releasing its half year results this week. Will it be a stunner or a fizzer?

Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) shares will be in focus later this week when the buy now pay later (BNPL) provider releases its half year results.

Ahead of the release, let's take a look at what we should be looking out for from its results on Thursday 23 February.

A young man sits at his desk working on his laptop with a big smile on his face.

Image source: Getty Images

Zip results

Given that Zip released its second quarter update last month, there won't be too many surprises from its results.

As a reminder, the company ended the period with 7.4 million active customers. This comprises 4 million in the United States, 2.3 million in the ANZ market, and 1.1 million across its Rest of the World segment.

From these customers, Zip delivered transaction volume of approximately $4.9 billion across the first half. This was up 8.9% over the prior corresponding period.

And with the company's revenue margin improving year over year despite the tough operating conditions, Zip's first half revenue came in 16.2% higher at $351.2 million.

The big question for investors, though, is what will this top line growth and its quest to accelerate its path to profitability mean for its bottom line.

A year earlier, Zip reported a loss of $214.3 million or an adjusted loss of $153.6 million. The former includes impairments of goodwill allocated to Zip UK and global rebranding costs.

Clearly, the market is expecting much better this time around. And with management revealing that it is making "great progress" to deliver sustainable growth and accelerate its "path to profitability", the market will undoubtedly be looking for signs that this is the case.

What else?

Analysts at Citi also suggested investors look out for commentary on asset divestments with its update. Last month it commented:

The key highlight of Zip's 2Q trading update was the sharp reduction in loss rates in the US that resulted in US becoming cash flow positive in Nov/Dec. With ~$80 million in available cash and further proceeds expected from the sale of RoW businesses (CitiE: $25 million in 2H23e), we see Zip as having ample cash to reach its cashflow breakeven target.

However, we believe Zip will need further capital when the focus shifts to growth, especially when considering that it lacks scale in the US. While the company has made strong progress in reducing losses, we remain Sell/High Risk rated as we continue to see risks to customer losses given slowing macro. We open a positive catalyst watch as we expect an update on the proceeds from selling RoW businesses which could boost balance sheet.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Zip Co. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on BNPL shares

A laughing man standing next to a woman holds out his arm to a payments machine to pay with his smartwatch
BNPL shares

Zip vs Block: Which ASX payments share is better?

See how Zip and Block stack up on value, growth, and momentum – and which payments share I’d buy right…

Read more »

Couple enjoying food at a restaurant.
BNPL shares

What would it take for Zip shares to double?

Could this fallen growth share double over the next few years? I run through the numbers.

Read more »

Woman looking at data on her laptop.
BNPL shares

Is the Zip share price a bargain at $2.09?

I look at the earnings forecasts to see how attractive the shares really are at this price.

Read more »

A couple sits on a sofa, each clutching their heads in horror and disbelief, while looking at a laptop screen.
BNPL shares

Zip shares crash another 11% this week: What is going on?

Here's what brokers expect next.

Read more »

A happy shopper with a wide mouthed smile holds multiple shopping bags up around her shoulders.
BNPL shares

Experts tip battered Zip shares to deliver over 90% returns

Zip’s battered share price could be hiding a much brighter future.

Read more »

A happy shopper with a wide mouthed smile holds multiple shopping bags up around her shoulders.
BNPL shares

Experts tip Afterpay owner Block shares to deliver over 50% returns

Block offers investors a compelling long-term fintech growth opportunity.

Read more »

Scared looking people on a rollercoaster ride representing volatility.
BNPL shares

Why Zip shares took investors on a wild ride in August

Zip shares made some big moves in August. But why?

Read more »

Woman with a concerned look on her face holding a credit card and smartphone.
BNPL shares

Is it time to get greedy with Zip shares?

The buy now, pay later provider has suffered several strong headwinds over the past 12 months.

Read more »