Why Telstra shares have 16% upside right now: fundie

What's ahead for the Telstra share price?

| More on:
A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Telstra share price is slightly outperforming the ASX 200 today 
  • One broker is tipping a 16% upside on the Telstra share price 
  • Telstra shares have fallen 3% in the last year

The Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price is slightly in the green today but could it have more upside in the future?

Telstra shares are climbing 0.25% today and are currently trading at $3.95. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 0.025% at the time of writing.

Let's take a look at the outlook for the Telstra share price.

What's ahead?

The team at Morgans believe Telstra is in "good shape" and is tipping its share price to go higher.

Morgans has placed an add rating on the company's share price with a $4.60 price target. This implies an upside of 16% based on the current share price.

Analysts are optimistic on the Telstra share price in light of its restructure, which could unlock value in its assets. The broker said:

After a major turnaround, TLS has emerged in good shape with strong earnings momentum and a strong balance sheet. In late CY22 shareholders vote[d] on Telstra's legal restructure, which opens the door for value to be released.

TLS currently trades on ~7x EV/EBITDA. However some of TLS's high quality long life assets like InfraCo are worth substantially more, in our view. We don't think this is in the price so see it as value generating for TLS shareholders. 

Telstra's corporate restructure will involve a legal reorganisation where multiple subsidiaries will sit under the new Telstra Corp. These will include Telstra International, Amplitel, InfraCo and Serve Co.

The legal restructure is due to be complete on 1 January 2023.

Telstra transitioned to new CEO Vicki Brady at the start of September.

Telstra share price snapshot

The Telstra share price has descended 3% in the past year, while it has fallen 6% in the year to date.

For perspective, the ASX 200 has fallen nearly 3% in the last year.

Telstra has a market capitalisation of more than $45 billion based on the current share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Communication Shares

a newsboy wearing historical costume of peaked cap and braces yells into an old fashioned megaphone while holding a newspaper in one hand, a so-called newsboy of previous eras when newsboys sold newspapers on street corners.
Communication Shares

Are Nine Entertainment or News Corp shares a better buy?

Should you accumulate these media shares at 52-week lows?

Read more »

Person handing out $50 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.
Communication Shares

Forecast: Here's what $10,000 invested in Telstra shares could be worth next year

Let’s look at the potential of Telstra shares rising.

Read more »

A woman wearing headphones looks delighted and animated on news she's receiving from her mobile phone that she is holding close to her face.
Communication Shares

The pros and cons of buying Telstra shares in 2026

Let’s look at both the positives and negatives of owning Telstra shares.

Read more »

stock growth chart
Healthcare Shares

Will CSL shares crash again in 2026?

CSL shares have fallen almost 40% in 2025. Investors are now asking if the worst is already behind the stock.

Read more »

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
Communication Shares

Aussie Broadband shares sink 2% on ACCC report

The ruling is expected to result in a small reduction of the company’s EBITDA in the coming years.

Read more »

a man in a shirt and tie looks to the horizon holding his hand above his eyes as if to shield the sun so he can see better.
Communication Shares

Why is everyone talking about Telstra shares this week?

All eyes are on the telco this week.

Read more »

A woman wearing headphones looks delighted and animated on news she's receiving from her mobile phone that she is holding close to her face.
Communication Shares

Superloop versus Aussie Broadband shares: Buy, sell or hold?

There is one winner among the two telcos.

Read more »

a line up of job interview candidates sit in chairs against a wall clutching CVs on paper in an office setting.
Communication Shares

Seek shares tipped to storm 45% higher next year: Here's why

Macquarie shares its view on the latest employment report for November.

Read more »