Headwinds for Telstra shares are now behind them: expert

Is there growth coming to the Telstra share price?

| More on:
A woman gives two fist pumps with a big smile as she learns of her windfall, sitting at her desk.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Telstra share price has had a rough trot over the past decade
  • The company has faced many structural challenges, which have challenged growth
  • But one ASX expert is predicting a return to growth...

The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price has been one of the most interesting ASX 200 blue chips to watch over the past decade. Telstra has undergone a remarkable transformation over this period.

One only has to look at the company's share price to see this in action:

We've seen the telco go as high as $6.60 (early 2015) and as low as $2.60 (mid-2018). The forces at play here were the loss of Telstra's old copper network to the national broadband network (NBN), which upended Telstra's old business model. We've also seen dividend cuts, and later dividend hikes. It's been a time.

Over this period, Telstra has had to deal with seemingly perpetual earnings declines. These have only stemmed in the past year or two. So now many investors might be asking if Telstra's worst days are now behind it?

The Telstra share price today — $3.85 — is well above the lows we saw in 2018. But it is also not even close to the highs it has commanded in the past.

So let's see what one expert reckons about Telstra today, and whether the company's best days lie in front of it.

Justin Braitling is chief investment officer at Watermark Funds Management. He recently spoke to Livewire about Telstra and its fellow in the telco space, TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPG).

Are Telstra shares returning to growth?

To start with, Braitling reckons investors should be "on the hunt for 'cheap defensive shares', particularly those that have underperformed in recent years". That certainly sums the Telstra share price up over the past decade.

Here's what Braitling had to say on both Telstra and TPG:

[Telstra] and [TPG] are both well priced here…

All the headwinds that have challenged TLS (NBN, mobile substitution, legacy deflation) are behind them. The business is growing again. Meanwhile, TPG is outstanding value here. The commitment of the founding shareholder is unclear, which I suspect puts this business in play at these depressed levels.

So 'Telstra growing again' might just be what investors want to hear. It's certainly a phrase that not too many investors have said alongside the Telstra name in recent years. But equally a phrase that shareholders will be very excited to hear today.

At the current Telstra share price, the ASX 200 telco has a dividend yield of 4.3%

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended TPG Telecom Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Communication Shares

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
Communication Shares

Aussie Broadband shares sink 2% on ACCC report

The ruling is expected to result in a small reduction of the company’s EBITDA in the coming years.

Read more »

a man in a shirt and tie looks to the horizon holding his hand above his eyes as if to shield the sun so he can see better.
Communication Shares

Why is everyone talking about Telstra shares this week?

All eyes are on the telco this week.

Read more »

A woman wearing headphones looks delighted and animated on news she's receiving from her mobile phone that she is holding close to her face.
Communication Shares

Superloop versus Aussie Broadband shares: Buy, sell or hold?

There is one winner among the two telcos.

Read more »

a line up of job interview candidates sit in chairs against a wall clutching CVs on paper in an office setting.
Communication Shares

Seek shares tipped to storm 45% higher next year: Here's why

Macquarie shares its view on the latest employment report for November.

Read more »

A handful of Australian $100 notes, indicating a cash position
Communication Shares

$30,000 of Telstra shares can net me $1,671 of passive income!

Investors can call on Telstra to deliver major income.

Read more »

Man holding a smartphone with an internet router in front of him.
Communication Shares

Could 2026 be a turning point for TPG? Here's what I'm watching

TPG has had a rough run, but the roadmap for 2026 offers a few important moments that could shift sentiment.

Read more »

woman on phone
Communication Shares

Up 24% in a year! The red-hot Telstra share price is smashing BHP, Westpac and Coles

The Aussie telco's shares stormed higher over the past 12 months.

Read more »

A TV remote in focus with a screen of Netflix options in the background.
Communication Shares

Where to from here for these 2 ASX 200 media shares

Brokers see upside, but are more cautious.

Read more »