Telstra shares: Buy, hold, or fold?

One broker is tipping 21% upside for the ASX 200 telco giant's stock.

| More on:
A man sits in contemplation on his sofa looking at his phone as though he has just heard some serious or interesting news.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Telstra share price has dumped around 50% over the last few decades to trade at $3.795 right now
  • Brokers are hopeful the company's current restructure could bring some major benefits
  • Meanwhile, one broker is tipping the stock to lift 21% amid continually decent dividends

It's been a rough few decades for the share price of Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) – which is currently trading under the name Telstra Group Ltd and ticker code TLSDA.

The company is in the middle of a restructuring operation, shaking up its business right down to its ASX listing, as The Motley Fool's Sebastian reports.  

The move comes after the stock dumped around 50% of its value over 23 years. It's fallen from around $9 per share in 1999 to trade at $3.795 today.

That's also 10% lower than it was at the start of 2022. Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has also fallen around 10% year to date.

So, with the stock having tumbled recently and a restructuring operation in progress, is now a good time to buy Telstra shares? Let's see what experts think.

Is now a good time to buy Telstra shares?

Many experts are optimistic about the Telstra share price going forward. Though, not all would go so far as to rate it a buy.

Top broker Goldman Sachs, for one, has a neutral rating on the telecommunications giant. But it has slapped Telstra shares with a $4.40 price target, representing a potential 15% upside.

Bell Potter Securities advisor Chris Watt has also tipped the telco as a hold, noting its earnings are resilient. Watt said, courtesy of The Bull:

The future sale of its infrastructure assets is the next key catalyst in determining the strategic direction of the business going forward.

Telstra's restructure will see the business split into four pillars: ServeCo, InfraCo Fixed, Amplitel, and Telstra International.

Back in August, the company's chief financial officer Vicki Brady said the restructure will give the company the option to monetise the InfraCo business. Though, no sale has been decided upon.

JP Morgan believes selling a 49% stake in the asset could reap between $12 billion and $17 billion of after-tax profit, the Australian Financial Review reports.

Under such circumstances, $10.5 billion to $15.5 billion could be returned to shareholders, most likely through buybacks, the broker reportedly said. Such buybacks could, in turn, boost the telco's dividends by 9%.

Speaking of dividends, Morgans is tipping Telstra to pay out 16.5 cents per share this financial year and next, my Fool colleague James reports.

That's in line with the company's financial year 2022 full-year offering. Though, that included three cents per share of special dividends.

Morgans is particularly bullish on Telstra shares, slapping the stock with an add rating and a $4.60 price target. That represents a potential 21% upside.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Man in yellow hard hat looks through binoculars as man in white hard hat stands behind him and points.
Broker Notes

4 ASX shares to buy in the market's best-performing sector of 2025

Do these companies deserve a spot in your portfolio?

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city, sitting back and relaxed, confident in his ASX share investments for the long term.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: AGL, Coles, and PLS shares

Are analysts bullish or bearish on these shares?

Read more »

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Experts rate these 2 ASX shares as buys this month!

Leading analysts say these stocks are a buy.

Read more »

Man reading an e-book with his feet up and piles of books next to him.
Broker Notes

What's Bell Potter's view on SGH shares after the BlueScope Steel acquisition proposal?

What should investors expect after Monday's announcement?

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: How does Morgans rate these ASX shares?

Morgans has been looking at a couple of popular shares.

Read more »

A man pulls a shocked expression with mouth wide open as he holds up his laptop.
Broker Notes

Why this beaten down ASX 200 stock could rise 50%

This stock could be dirt cheap according to analysts at Bell Potter.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Fortescue, Qantas, and WiseTech shares

Are these popular shares in the buy zone? Let's find out what analysts are saying.

Read more »