Up 22% in a week, will Tesla's results slow the Liontown share price surge

Global EV giant Tesla's quarterly results came in slightly below consensus expectations.

| More on:
Group of thoughtful business people with eyeglasses reading documents in the office.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Liontown share price is in the green this morning
  • Liontown signed a binding lithium supply agreement with Tesla in February this year
  • Tesla stock dropped sharply yesterday after its quarterly results fell short of expectations, sparking concerns of a potential slowdown in Chinese economic growth

The Liontown Resources Limited (ASX: LTR) share price is up 0.5% in morning trade on Friday.

The ASX lithium stock closed yesterday trading for $1.84 and is currently trading for $1.85 per share.

The Liontown share price has leapt 22% since last Thursday's close, and handily outperformed the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) in 2022.

That outperformance has been driven by strong demand and near-record prices for the critical battery metal lithium.

The Liontown share price got a big boost from Tesla in February

Investors were particularly keen earlier this year after Liontown announced it had entered into a binding lithium supply agreement with global electric vehicle (EV) giant, Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA).

Tesla agreed to purchase lithium spodumene concentrate from Liontown's $473 million Kathleen Valley Lithium Project, in Western Australia.

The initial five-year agreement, expected to commence in 2024, will see Liontown supply Tesla with 100,000 dry metric tonnes (DMT) of lithium spodumene concentrate in the first year. Tesla agreed to buy 150,000 DMT in the following years.

Liontown shares surged more than 16% on 16 February, the day of the announcement.

Why might Tesla's results impact Liontown?

Despite some strong annual growth figures, investors were less than impressed with Tesla's quarterly results, reported yesterday.

The disappointment likely stemmed from the EV giant's quarterly revenue figures falling slightly short of consensus expectations. Whatever the cause, the Tesla share price closed down 6.7% yesterday, bringing its 2022 losses to a painful 48.2%.

While this doesn't look to be having any immediate impact on the Liontown share price today, the broader picture could cast a shadow over the medium-term outlook for lithium demand.

According to Eliot Hastie, markets analyst at Australian digital brokerage Stake, "Some analysts believe that softening demand is the primary concern, with sales in China – Tesla's biggest market – having slowed due to rising competition and a poor macroeconomic landscape."

Hastie continued:

Tesla still makes up just under a fifth of all global battery-only electric vehicles sales, so it's a significant sentiment driver for Australian lithium stocks. The brand's earnings could be seen as a negative sign for lithium demand in the short term by some, but the need for this commodity is still predicted to increase exponentially over the long term.

I think Hastie nails it there with the long-term outlook for lithium demand and prices.

A slowdown in China could impact Tesla and the Liontown share price in the shorter term. But analysts are broadly in agreement that the 10-year global demand outlook for lithium remains very strong as EV markets are forecast to continue growing rapidly.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Materials Shares

Core Lithium share price hits a multi-year low: Will the tide change soon?

Are analysts now seeing value emerge from the lithium miner's shares?

Read more »

Yellow rising arrow on a brick wall with a man on a ladder.
Materials Shares

Brickworks share price jumps on big Soul Patts news

Brickworks has just built more stability to its business.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Materials Shares

Meet the speculative ASX stock that could rise 200%

Bell Potter thinks this high risk stock could triple your money.

Read more »

A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX 200 mining stock is making a $276m UK acquisition

BHP failed in its UK takeover attempt but this mining stock is having more luck.

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Materials Shares

Where could the Pilbara Minerals share price be in 12 months?

Will the market be kind to this lithium giant? Let's see what analysts are expecting.

Read more »

A female worker in a hard hat smiles in an oil field.
Materials Shares

Buy Rio Tinto and these 4 ASX mining stocks in June

Analysts think these miners could offer outsized returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Materials Shares

Why are Sayona Mining shares down 80% in a year?

This lithium miner is having a tough time. What's behind this?

Read more »

A group of three men in hard hats and high visibility vests stand together at a mine site while one points and the others look on with piles of dirt and mining equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

Here's the iron ore price forecast through to 2027

Let's see what analysts are forecasting for the steel making ingredient.

Read more »