Government tips Aussie lithium exports to surge 180%. Which ASX shares are in on the action?

Lithium is crucial element in the lithium-ion batteries that power EVs.

| More on:
A smiling woman holds an arm in the air in triumph while also holding a graphic of a fully-charged battery in her other hand representing the Pilbara Minerals share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • ASX lithium shares are surging today on a strong growth outlook 
  • EV sales are forecast to increase tenfold over the next decade, and already account for 75% of global lithium demand 
  • Only three Aussie miners are currently producing lithium, with a fourth just months away 

ASX lithium shares are in the spotlight today.

Again.

This comes following the release of the Industry Department's latest quarterly Resources and Energy Report.

And investors in lithium stocks will likely take heart from what the report reveals.

Lithium exports to surge 180%

Lithium is a crucial element in lithium-ion batteries that power EVs.

Some 75% of the world's consumption of lithium currently goes into rechargeable batteries. And EV sales are forecast to grow tenfold over the next decade. Remarkable growth that's kept ASX lithium shares high on investor radars.

With Australia already claiming the title of the world's top exporter of lithium, the Industry Department report states, "Notably, lithium exports are now forecast to rise by over 180% to $13.8 billion in 2022-23."

This compares to $4.9 billion in 2021-2022, a figure which was just revised upwards from the previous $4.1 billion estimate.

Remarkably, lithium export earnings in 2020-21 were 'only' $1.1 billion. Meaning a tenfold increase in just two years. Certainly, some gusty tailwinds for ASX lithium shares.

Further ahead, Industry Department analysts expect lithium export revenues to drop slightly in 2022-23 to $12.9 billion as lithium prices ease amid more supply coming onto the market.

As for prices for the battery critical mineral, the report stated, "We expect lithium hydroxide prices to lift from US$17,370 a tonne in 2021 to US$38,575 a tonne in 2022 and US$51,510 in 2023, and moderate to US$37,650 by 2024."

That's the outlook for the battery-critical metal.

Now which ASX lithium shares are in on the action?

Which ASX lithium shares are in on the action?

While there is a wide range of ASX lithium shares exploring lithium, only a handful are currently producing and exporting the metal.

First up we have Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN).

While Mineral Resources is also a mining services company, it has a large footprint in the lithium space. The miner's Mt Marion operations in Western Australia are situated in the Pilbara region.

The Mineral Resources share price is up 58% over the past 12 months.

Next, we have Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE), formerly known as Orocobre.

Allkem's projects are primarily located in Argentina. It supplies lithium carbonate to a variety of industrial and technical sectors. The miner is among the lowest-cost lithium producers in the world and aims to ramp up production by three times its current levels by 2026.

The Allkem share price is up 73% in 12 months.

The third ASX lithium share in the production stage is Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS).

Pilbara's Pilgangoora Lithium-Tantalum Project is also located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.

Pilgangoora is one of the largest hard-rock lithium-tantalum deposits in the world. Pilbara forecasts spodumene concentrate capacity at Pilgangoora will increase from 560,000 to 580,000 dry metric tonnes (dmt) this year.

The Pilbara share price is up 158% over the past full year.

In case you're wondering, Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) isn't officially on this list yet. That's because the miner's Finniss Lithium Project, located in the Northern Territory in proximity to Darwin, hasn't produced its first lithium yet. Though that production is now forecast to be just months away.

The Core Lithium share price has rocketed 169% in 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Workers at a steel making factory
Materials Shares

Can this ASX 200 stock keep its end of year rally going?

Brokers are upbeat and see gains in 2026.

Read more »

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 mining shares outperform as iron ore and copper prices strengthen

BHP, Fortescue, and Rio Tinto shares reached new 52-week highs while the ASX 200 edged up 0.24%.

Read more »

A statuesque woman throws earth in the air in front of a rocky outcrop.
Materials Shares

Lithium price rebounds 25% in 2025: Which ASX lithium shares are a buy?

We reveal the latest broker ratings and 12-month share price targets on 3 popular ASX lithium shares.

Read more »

Focused man entrepreneur with glasses working, looking at laptop screen thinking about something intently while sitting in the office.
Materials Shares

'Stronger, sharper, and simpler': Rio Tinto shares fall despite major update

Let's see what this mining giant has released a strategy update.

Read more »

A little boy holds up a barbell with big silver weights at each end.
Materials Shares

$3,000 invested in this ASX silver share in July is now worth $6,577

That's a mighty impressive return in just a few months!

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

How much upside does Macquarie tip for Rio Tinto shares?

Let's see what the broker thinks of this mining giant.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Materials Shares

Why are Vulcan Energy shares crashing 33% today?

Let's see why this lithium stock is sinking heavily in morning trade.

Read more »

Female miner on a walkie talkie.
Materials Shares

Leading broker thinks this ASX materials stock is set to double!

This small-cap stock is tipped to take off.

Read more »