Goldman Sachs says Woolworths share price has huge upside potential

Woolworths could be a blue chip to buy according to Goldman Sachs…

| More on:
A couple in a supermarket laugh as they discuss which fruits and vegetables to buy

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price came under pressure on Thursday.

The retail giant's shares ended the day over 3% lower at $36.20 after investors responded poorly to its full year results.

Is the Woolworths share price weakness a buying opportunity?

The team at Goldman Sachs believe that investors should take advantage of the weakness in the Woolworths share price.

According to a note this morning, the broker has reiterated its conviction buy rating with an improved price target of $44.10.

Based on the current Woolworths share price, this implies potential upside of 22% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, Goldman is forecasting a fully franked 3% dividend yield in FY 2023, which stretches the total potential return to a very attractive 25%.

What did Goldman say?

Goldman was pleased with Woolworths performance in FY 2022. It highlights that the company's "results were of high quality with AU supermarket comp store growth of 5.2% in 4Q22 driven by strong price and positive mix." Pleasingly, the broker expects this trend to extend into the first half of FY 2023.

The broker also notes that management's tone was cautiously optimistic on the investor call and "believes that FY24, under normal operating backdrop, will be the year which it begins to win scale benefits of its earlier investment into digital and consumer data, at a time when other competitors are just beginning."

Goldman's top retail pick

Overall, Goldman Sachs has seen enough to support its view that the company is the top pick in the Australian consumer space. Particularly with the Woolworths share price offering such material upside potential. It concludes:

We continue to prefer WOW as the top pick in our AU Consumer space given the company's digital and omni-channel advantage to further drive market share and margin gains. Despite the softer topline environment, we believe that WOW's reducing COVID costs, strong Cartology growth as well as careful execution will result in EBIT margin expansion. Our 50/50 SOTP and DCF valuation is unchanged and rolled forward to FY24. Our 12m TP increases from A$40.5/sh to A$44.10/sh, implying 24% share price upside. Reiterate Buy, on CL.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Broker Notes

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on Coles vs. Woolworths share prices

One stock is set for a 26% share price gain over the next 12 months while the other is destined…

Read more »

Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 50%

Big returns could be on the cards for owners of these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 100 stock can rise 14% to a new 52-week high

Goldman Sachs thinks investors should be buying this top stock now.

Read more »