The A2 Milk share price has climbed 10% so far this month. What's going on?

We check what's behind the sudden optimism for A2 Milk shares.

Key points
  • The A2 Milk share price has seen a 10% rise so far in August
  • Despite delays in gaining FDA approval to supply infant formula to the US market, management remains confident
  • Another A2-branded competitor is considering listing on the ASX to take on A2 Milk

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) has been frothing up a storm in August, shooting up 10%.

The company's shares closed on Wednesday at $4.98 apiece after starting the month at $4.54.

So why has the A2 Milk share price been climbing lately?

The US opportunity

It seems its peer Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) has regenerated excitement in the milk formula businesses after securing a major supply deal in the US and posting a stellar quarter for June 2022.

However, A2 Milk hasn't experienced the same success. It has actually hit a bit of a roadblock in its bid for access to the US market, as outlined by my colleague Sebastian Bowen.

On 12 August, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) advised it had to defer further consideration for an enforcement discretion to import infant milk formula products into the United States.

According to the Sydney Morning Herald, another A2 Milk competitor Bellamy's gained FDA approval shortly after Bubs.

Despite the hold up, A2 Milk CEO David Bortolussi remains confident. Bortolussi told the SMH the company had the relationships necessary on the ground to handle distribution and made the following comment:

Feedback from our US team on the ground is that the infant milk formula crisis has not been solved, with significant retail out-of-stock issues continuing across the country.

If Bortolussi's optimism comes to fruition, a major contract in the US will act as a significant growth driver for the A2 Milk share price.

Another competitor considers ASX listing

The Australian Financial Review recently reported that another infant formula company Care A2 Plus is preparing for an ASX listing.

Care A2 Plus produces infant and toddler formula using single-sourced milk from Australian grass-fed A2 cows in Victoria. Unlike A2 Milk, it managed to gain approval from the FDA in early July to supply millions of tins to retailers short of supply.

The company advised the AFR that its first orders for Care A2+ Premium Infant Formula with iron were due to ship to the US in August.

Dominic Galati is the founder of Care A2 Plus and a former SBS executive.

Its chairman Walter Bugno said the company has more than 300 shareholders, including Chemist Warehouse.

A2 milk share price snapshot

The A2 Milk share price looks horrid across the last 12 months, falling 25% but the recent US shortage has driven it higher.

Across the same period, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) dropped 5% and like A2 Milk, it rallied with a 7% jump in the last month.

Given the roadblock and the potential listing of a competitor, which is already supplying to the US, it's quite curious to see the A2 Milk share price climbing of late.

Motley Fool contributor Raymond Jang has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk and BUBS AUST FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. 

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woman holding $50 and $20 notes.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

I'd buy 2,516 shares of Coles stock to aim for $250 a month of passive income

Coles could be a strong option for passive income in the years ahead.

Read more »

Woman using smartphone to check product details while shopping in a grocery store aisle.
Record Highs

Woolworths shares jump 9% to all-time high: Buy, sell, or hold?

Here's what the experts tip next.

Read more »

Three cows jumping over a field of grass.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A2 Milk vs Bega Cheese: Which ASX dairy stock is better for new investors?

Which company edges ahead thanks to fully franked dividends and recent share price momentum?

Read more »

A man in a four wheel drive vehicle lifts an arm and gives a thumbs up in the air as he traverses rugged mountain style terrain with a green valley and rocky hills in the background.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

ARB posts profit and sales drop but holds dividend steady

ARB reveals lower FY26 revenue and profit but keeps dividend steady, focusing on new store growth and international expansion.

Read more »

A happy young couple lie on a wooden deck using a skateboard for a pillow.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

3 reasons I would invest $10,000 in Coles shares

Defensive demand is only one reason this ASX share remains high on my buy list.

Read more »

Woman thinking in a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Buying Coles shares? Here's the dividend yield you'll get today

Coles has impressed dividend investors with its income growth.

Read more »

Hand sketching investment growth concept chart with chalk on blackboard.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Temple & Webster vs Harvey Norman: Which beaten-down ASX retailer offers better value?

Temple & Webster vs Harvey Norman—here's which value investors might want to back after a tough year for retail shares.

Read more »

A young woman looks happily at her phone in one hand with a selection of retail shopping bags in her other hand.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woolworths vs JB Hi-Fi: Which ASX shares to buy now?

Which is the better buy right now: Woolworths’ steady staples or JB Hi-Fi’s value and yield? Here’s my verdict for…

Read more »