Why did Jefferies slash its FY23 earnings forecast for CSL shares?

The ASX biotech giant has caught a bid so far in July.

| More on:
Two happy scientists analysing test results in a lab

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • CSL shares have drifted higher in FY23 along with the wider sector
  • Analysts are bullish on the share and advocate it as a buy right now
  • This is despite some brokers reducing their earnings forecasts for FY23

The CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) share price has strengthened so far in H1 FY23, gaining 7.5% over the past month of trade.

Meanwhile, the broader sector has pushed higher recently as well. The S&P/ASX 200 Health Care Index (ASX: XHJ) has also lifted around 7% in the past month.

Broker downgrades CSL earnings forecasts

Analysts at investment bank Jefferies have reduced their earnings per share (EPS) projections for FY23 in a recent note.

The broker now estimates CSL will achieve EPS of $2.81 per share for the full year. That's a 6-cent reduction off previous estimates of $2.87.

However, the consensus of analyst estimates has projected CSL to deliver $2.49 in EPS for the coming 12 months.

Despite the downgrade, Jefferies still sits roughly 15% above the consensus with its bottom-line estimates for CSL. It also forecasts $3.40 in EPS for FY24 from the biotech giant.

Further, every analyst covering the company rates it a buy right now, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

As such, momentum continues for the company. The CSL share price has opened in the green today and is currently trading at $292.13, up 1.88%.

The company generated $464 million in free cash flow (FCF) last half, with a 14% return on invested capital.

Investors realise a 1% yield on this FCF with a corresponding 1% dividend yield.

It also sits on a debt to asset ratio of 23%, with debt financing just 28% of the company's total capital, according to calculations derived from CSL's financial statements.

The consensus price target on the stock is also $316 per share, according to Refinitiv Eikon's consensus data.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies is closely with large wine barrels in the background, stored in a brick walled wine cellar.
Broker Notes

2 undervalued ASX 200 shares with 'significant catalysts ahead'

We reveal the ASX 200 coal and wine stocks that this fund manager has selected for additional investment.

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Broker Notes

1 ASX 200 energy stock with 'minimal competition' to buy right now

This stock is trading 30% lower than its 2022 record high.

Read more »

happy investor, share price rise, increase, up
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 25% to 50%

Analysts believe these shares could deliver big returns for investors.

Read more »

a smiling woman sits at her computer at home with a coffee alongside her, as if pleased with her investments.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Goldman Sachs says this ASX 200 mining share is in for a 33% whack

The top broker predicts a fairly miserable 12 months ahead for this diversified miner.

Read more »

Broker looking at the share price on her laptop with green and red points in the background.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

a man in a hard hat and high visibility vest smiles as he stands in the foreground of heavy mining equipment on a mine site.
Broker Notes

Up 15% in 13 days, is it too late to buy South32 shares?

South32 shares have risen 1%-plus per day for the past 13 trading days. Have investors missed the boat?

Read more »