Why this fundie believes Woodside shares are still an 'attractive investment'

This expert disagrees with market consensus on the future of oil prices.

| More on:
a man stands in overalls and a hardhat with a clipboard in front of stacked black oil drums at an oil industry site.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Allan Gray's Simon Mawhinney is bullish on the Woodside share price
  • The fundie disagrees with broader sentiment on the future of oil prices saying production costs, a lack of new supply, and ongoing hydrocarbon use will continue to support the value of fossil fuels
  • That, combined with the company's long reserve lines and its Scarborough development, has the fundie optimistic about Woodside stock

The Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) share price has been on a roll in 2022 so far. The stock has racked up an impressive 43% gain since the start of this year. At the time of writing, the Woodside share price is $32.56.

So is it blue skies ahead for the newly crowned energy goliath? Allan Gray chief investment officer and managing director Simon Mawhinney thinks so.

In fact, the fundie appears broadly bullish on the energy sector. Though, he's holding particularly high hopes for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) energy giant.

Let's take a look at why Mawhinney is backing Woodside to go higher.

Why this fundie is bullish on Woodside shares

The Woodside share price has been gaining this year, driven higher amid the company's merger with BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) petroleum assets.

That's despite notable criticism of Woodside's crown jewel, the Scarborough Project. But the project is one of the many reasons Mawhinney likes the stock.

"[Woodside] has an asset base with long reserve lines, particularly when Scarborough is developed," the fundie said.

The company expects the $17 billion project to be up and running in 2026. And Mawhinney is confident the green energy transition won't have wiped away demand for fossil fuels by then, saying:

We find it very hard to see oil prices falling to [consensus' expectations of] US$70 a barrel.

Especially when you take into account the cost of extracting this; the limited investment that's gone into replacing new supply; and the fact that even in a net-zero 2050 world there will be hydrocarbon consumption that will be needed for decades to come.

All of those together, our expectations for what oil and gas prices are likely to be going forward makes Woodside an attractive investment.

The fundie finds Woodside shares so attractive, in fact, that the energy stock made up nearly 11% of the Allan Gray Australian Equity Fund last month.

It was joined in the fund's top ten holdings by energy stocks Worley Ltd (ASX: WOR) and Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG).

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A woman looks quizzical as she looks at a graph of the share market.
Broker Notes

Looking for double-digit returns? Check out RBC Capital Markets' picks ahead of reporting season

These shares could deliver strong upside.

Read more »

Man controlling a drone in the sky.
Broker Notes

ASX defence stocks to target according to Bell Potter

The bull run might not be finished yet for these two companies.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

What is Morgans saying about ARB and BHP shares?

Is now the time to buy these popular shares? Let's find out.

Read more »

A female athlete in green spandex leaps from one cliff edge to another representing 3 ASX shares that are destined to rise and be great
Broker Notes

Up 63% since June, why this ASX All Ords share is tipped to keep outperforming in 2026

A leading broker expects more outsized gains for this ASX All Ords share.

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Northern Star, Pro Medicus, and Web Travel shares

How does the team at Morgans rate these popular shares? Let's find out.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale, representing ASX gold shares.
Broker Notes

Up 300% since August, why this surging ASX gold stock could keep racing higher

A leading broker forecasts more strong outperformance from this rocketing ASX gold stock.

Read more »

A colourfully dressed young skydiver wearing heavy gold gloves smiles and gives a thumbs up as he falls through the sky.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this ASX silver stock has 'a sky full of upside'

This exciting stock could be a high risk, high reward pick according to the broker.

Read more »