What's the outlook for the Macquarie share price in July?

The Macquarie share price has been on a bumpy ride in 2022, trading 18% down year to date.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Macquarie shares have been trading down in recent weeks in tandem with the broader financials sector
  • Despite this, brokers are still constructive and reckon the share price can continue heading north 
  • In the past 12 months, the Macquarie share price has clipped a 7% gain

The Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) share price has been on a bumpy ride in 2022, trading 18% down so far this year to date.

ASX investors have pushed the Macquarie share price a further 8% into the red in this past month of trade, with the final trading day of June yet to complete.

In broader market moves, the S&P/ASX 200 Financials Index (ASX: XFJ) has also slipped 11% in the past month.

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.

Image source: Getty Images

How's July look for the Macquarie share price?

ASX banks have traded down in June amid uncertainty on Australia's housing and mortgage markets looking ahead.

In addition to the traditional banking model, Macquarie's operations are spread across several adjacent markets. These include capital markets, commodities, real assets, infrastructure, and asset management.

Analysts have recognised this strength and reckon there's more to look forward to if the investment bank can stick to its track record.

The Wilsons team of analysts wrote in a recent note that "the medium to long-term opportunity for the [Macquarie] group is significantly stronger than other large cap financials on the market".

Meanwhile, JP Morgan reckons the bank's annuity division looks set to strengthen due to growth in Macquarie Asset Management (MAM).

JP Morgan is overweight on Macquarie and values the bank at a price of $218 per share.

In a research note, the broker said:

MAM [is] well placed to benefit from structural demand for alternative asset classes and MIM to benefit from several recent acquisitions, including Waddell & Reed.

Growth should be supported by significant deployment of capital into all operating divisions, given a healthy capital surplus.

We still see modest upside to our valuation, particularly given our forecast of a greater than 15% ROE in FY23-25.

In assigning a buy rating, JP Morgan joins another eight analysts telling their clients to buy Macquarie shares at today's price, according to Bloomberg data.

Macquarie opened today's session at $166.64, down 0.86% on yesterday's close.

Meanwhile, four rate it a hold, whilst Credit Suisse has the sole sell rating. From this list, the consensus price target is $203 per share, suggesting considerable upside should that materialise.

In the past 12 months, the Macquarie share price has clipped a 7% gain.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Opinions

With cash profits jumping to $11 billion, are CBA shares now a buy, hold or sell?

CBA enjoyed a very profitable FY 2026. But is the ASX 200 bank stock a buy for FY 2027?

Read more »

Hand holding Australian dollar (AUD) bills, symbolising ex dividend day. Passive income.
Bank Shares

Everything you need to know about the CBA dividend

Let’s look at what payout Commonwealth Bank shareholders can expect.

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Earnings Results

Commonwealth Bank of Australia share price on watch as profit and dividend rise in FY26

CBA has declared a fully franked final dividend of $2.70 per share.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on NAB shares

A leading expert forecasts growing headwinds for NAB shares. But why?

Read more »

A woman works on her desktop and tablet, having a win with crypto.
Bank Shares

Are Westpac shares a buy after sinking 6%?

I went looking for a reason to reconsider Westpac after the sell-off. The latest mortgage figures pushed me in the…

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares plunge 5.9%: Is the dividend safe?

Can Westpac keep the lights on?

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Earnings Results

Westpac shares are plunging: What's spooking investors?

Investors appear focused on Westpac’s outlook, not a major deterioration in its financial health.

Read more »

Smiling woman look at her computer screen.
Bank Shares

Westpac posts $1.8bn third quarter profit and stable margins

The banking giant reported a 3% increase in statutory net profit to $1.8 billion.

Read more »