The Newcrest share price is 23% below pre-pandemic levels, what gives?

Higher US interest rates increase the haven appeal of US Treasuries and the greenback, competing with ASX gold shares.

| More on:
Miner standing at quarry looking upset

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Newcrest share price down 5% today 
  • ASX gold shares have come under pressure amid fast rising interest rates 
  • Recession concerns have hit most commodity stocks 

The Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) share price is sliding hard today, down 4.6% in late morning trade.

Newcrest shares closed Friday at $23.04 and are currently trading for $22.01.

But it's not just the Newcrest share price under pressure.

Most of the ASX gold producers are deep in the red, as witnessed by the 6.9% intraday losses posted by the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD). Meanwhile, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up 1.7%.

With today's losses factored in, the Newcrest share price is down 23% from pre-pandemic levels, with 21 February 2020 the final pre-pandemic day of trading on the ASX.

So, what gives?

Why are ASX gold shares under pressure?

Sticking with 21 February 2020 as the final pre-pandemic day, the All Ordinaries is down 5% since that date while the All Ords Gold Index has tanked by 28%.

Looking at the gold price, the yellow metal was trading for US$1,643 per troy ounce pre-pandemic, significantly lower than the current US$1,832 per ounce.

So it looks to be more gold's fall from a peak of US$2,050 in March this year that's pressuring gold shares.

Over the past months investors have become increasingly nervous over the potential of a recession in the United States, the world's biggest economy. Those concerns have seen the prices for copper, iron ore and most industrial metals tumble.

While the gold price has held up better, the Newcrest share price and other gold stocks have faced stiff headwinds from fast rising interest rates.

Aggressive tightening by the US Federal Reserve has seen a stronger greenback and an uptick in yields of US Treasuries. That's of particular importance for gold stocks because both the US dollar and US government bonds are go-to haven assets in times of uncertainty. While gold, also a classic safe haven asset, doesn't pay any interest.

Newcrest share price was post-pandemic positive two months ago

The real pressure on the Newcrest share price and the broader gold sector has really only come into play over the past few months.

In fact, on 19 April this year, Newcrest shares closed at $28.84, edging out the US$28.72 per share the company closed at on 21 February 2020.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

A woman in a business suit sits at her desk with gold bars in each hand while she kisses one bar with her eyes closed. Her desk has another three gold bars stacked in front of her. symbolising the rising Northern Star share price
Gold

Bell Potter names the best ASX gold stocks to buy in 2026

These shares could be golden buys according to the broker.

Read more »

a man wearing a gold shirt smiles widely as he is engulfed in a shower of gold confetti falling from the sky. representing a new gold discovery by ASX mining share OzAurum Resources
Gold

Why this cheap ASX gold share could rise 50%

Big returns could be on the cards for this gold developer according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

gold, gold miner, gold discovery, gold nugget, gold price,
Gold

Up 150% since February, ASX 300 gold stock reports 'robust' high-grade results

The ASX 300 gold miner is hunting for high-grade gold deposits in Victoria.

Read more »

A woman blowing gold glitter out of her hands with a joyous smile on her face.
Gold

Can this ASX gold stock keep surging after hitting fresh highs?

Most brokers think the ASX share will continue outperforming.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Gold

This ASX gold miner's shares have exploded nearly 200% since last year, and there's more upside ahead

Analysts are bullish about the stock's outlook.

Read more »

Woman leaping in the air and standing out from her friends who are watching.
Broker Notes

This ASX 200 gold stock has surged 77% in 2025. Here's why Macquarie expects it to leap another 23%

Macquarie forecasts 23% upside for this surging ASX gold stock, and that doesn’t include the dividends!

Read more »

A mining worker clenches his fists celebrating success at sunset in the mine.
Gold

This ASX mining stock surged 188% in a year, tipped to jump another 27%

The miner recently joined the ASX 200 Index.

Read more »

Miner puts thumbs up in front of gold mine quarry.
Gold

Up 143% in 2025, ASX All Ords gold stock announces 82,000-ounce gold boost

The ASX gold miner is eyeing 1.22 million ounces of the yellow metal in Western Australia.

Read more »