Why the ResMed share price could jump 25% from current levels

ResMed shares could be great value according to one leading broker…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • ResMed shares have fallen heavily in 2022
  • One leading broker sees this as a buying opportunity for investors
  • Its analysts believe there is 25% upside in the ResMed share price at current levels

The ResMed Inc (ASX: RMD) share price has been having a tough time in 2022.

Since the start of the year, the sleep treatment company's shares have fallen 22%.

A man wakes up happy with a smile on his face and arms outstretched.

Image source: Getty Images

Is the ResMed share price weakness a buying opportunity?

While the decline in the ResMed share price this year has been disappointing, one leading broker appears to believe investors should take advantage of it and buy shares.

According to a recent note out of Citi, its analysts have retained their buy rating but trimmed their price target on the company's shares to $35.50.

Based on the latest ResMed share price of $28.41, this implies potential upside of 25% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Citi notes that ResMed has been impacted by supply chain headwinds and has been unable to fully benefit from a major competitor recall.

In light of this and rising interest rates, it has trimmed its estimates and valuation of the ResMed share price. It explained:

We cut FY22-24E EPS by -7% / -5% / -7% on lower revenue expectations. Lower earnings, updated FX, and revised WACC of 7.2% (from 7%) to reflect the higher interest rates expectations result in a new target price of A$35.50 (from A$38.00).

Nevertheless, the broker remains positive. This is due to its attractive valuation and the broker's belief that ResMed will permanently win market share from the Philips recall.

RMD is trading at PE of ~28x FY24E, below historical avg of ~32x. Maintain Buy. RMD cut its additional device guidance in FY22 by $100m to $200-250m due to the difficulty in sourcing semiconductors as it attempts to fill the void left by the Philips recall (whose device sales were ~US$800m pa).

We forecast $225m in extra sales (from US$360m) in FY22 – we expect this to continue in FY23 where we assume ~US$350m (from US$315m) of extra sales. Despite the short-term impact, we continue to expect ResMed will make a permanent 10% market share gain in devices due to the Philips' recall.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

4 ASX shares which could improve by 25% to more than 100%

Looking for significant gains? Check these recommendations out.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

A graphic showing three hands holding red paddles with the word BID, indicating a bidding war for an ASX share company
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: L1 Long Short Fund, REA, Wesfarmers shares

Andrew Wielandt from DP Wealth Advisory reveals some stock tips for FY27.

Read more »

Young boy looks shocked as he lifts glasses above his eyes in front of a stock market graph. representing three ASX 300 shares hitting 52-week lows today
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Regis Resources, Mineral Resources, Woolworths shares

Can Woolworths shares outperform again in FY27? And what about these two mining stocks?

Read more »

An older couple hold hands as they bounce happily high in the air.
Broker Notes

2 struggling ASX shares tipped to rebound up to 15%

These stocks can recover in the next 12 months according to Morgans.

Read more »

A group of three men in hard hats and high visibility vests stand together at a mine site while one points and the others look on with piles of dirt and mining equipment in the background.
Broker Notes

How high does Macquarie think Fortescue shares will go?

The broker is positive on the company's outlook.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
Broker Notes

Experts name 3 big-name ASX 200 shares to sell

These shares are in the bad books, but for what reason?

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment at their office.
Broker Notes

Why Mesoblast shares could double in value

This biotechnology company just became less risky according to Bell Potter.

Read more »