Why did the Telstra share price backtrack in May?

Communication shares took a hit in May as well.

| More on:
A man wearing a colourful shirt holds an old fashioned phone to his ear with a look of curiosity on his face as though he is pondering the answer to a question.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Telstra shares fell backwards last month finishing 4% down 
  • Whilst market sentiment has shifted, analysts are still constructive on the stock as a whole 
  • In the last 12 months, Telstra shares have clipped an 11.5% gain 

Shares of telco giant Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) finished the month of May 4% down at $3.88 apiece.

The telecommunications and broadband provider lagged the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO)'s 3% loss as well, falling from a high of $3.99 early in the month.

Meanwhile, in broader market moves, the S&P/ASX 200 Communication Services Index (ASX: XTJ) finished more than 6% down in May and is 13% down this year to date.

What's up with the Telstra share price?

Whilst it was a fairly quiet affair out of Telstra's camp last month, it appears market sentiment has begun to shift for the company.

With prices trading down in May, investors sold off Telstra shares at pace with the stock making a continuous series of lower highs and lower lows in that time.

The moves were matched by those of the communication services index (XTJ) which fumbled from a high of 1,512 points to start the month and made no signs of recovery.

In addition, analysts at Macquarie released a note highlighting that smaller telco providers are stealing market share from larger providers like Telstra.

Macquarie analysts said that collectively the largest 3 providers lost around 0.3% of market share last quarter, citing data from the Australian consumer watchdog. However, it does have a suspended rating on Telstra.

Separately, Jefferies analyst Roger Samuel also believes that Telstra might raise its mobile prices this year to keep up with the pace of inflation.

He rates Telstra a buy with a $4.47 per share price target in line with several other brokers who price Telstra shares on a similar valuation.

Meanwhile, around 57% of brokers covering Telstra still reckon it's a buy right now, whereas around 36% say it's currently a hold, according to Bloomberg data. Just one firm – Barclay Pearce – says it's a sell on a $3.52 per share price target.

The consensus price target from this list is $4.52 per share, suggesting around a 16.5% potential upside should this view be correct.

The Telstra share price has clipped an 11.5% gain in the last 12 months of trade despite struggling to find range this year to date, shown below.

TradingView Chart

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Chalice Mining, Cleanaway, Kogan, and Perpetual shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

man grimaces next to falling stock graph
Share Fallers

Why did this ASX 100 stock just crash 11%?

Cleanaway shares have been on a crazy roller-coaster over the past 24 hours.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Brambles, Lifestyle Communities, Northern Star, and Select Harvests shares are sinking

These shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Cettire, DroneShield, St Barbara, and Star shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Monday. But why?

Read more »

Woman in dress sitting in chair looking depressed
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Cettire share price plunges 6% after major investor pulls the plug

A 'red flag' triggered this investment company to sell out completely.

Read more »

A skydiving man in a jester hat and carrying a burger and sauce, pokes out his tongue at the camera, indicating all is not lost when you're falling.
Technology Shares

Why is the Droneshield share price crashing 19% on Monday?

Investors are sending shares in Droneshield down 19% in morning trade.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why COG, Karoon Energy, Netwealth, and Pilbara Minerals shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are ending the week deep in the red. But why?

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Evolution Mining, Karoon Energy, ResMed, and Sayona Mining shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »