What's dragging on the Wesfarmers share price on Monday?

We check what one leading broker has to say about the retail giant's prospects.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Wesfarmers copped a downward revision from analysts at Citi
  • The broker notes a weaker retail outlook and softer earnings growth from Bunnings and Harvey Norman
  • In the last 12 months, the Wesfarmers share price has slipped by more than 8%

The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) share price has been rangebound on Monday and remains bottom-heavy at $49.56, down 0.81%.

After dropping sharply from the open, Wesfarmers' shares managed to claw back from a low of $49.36 in early trade.

a businessman in a suit tries to forge ahead but is carrying a rope attached to a large anchor that is stuck in the ground against a background of muted sky and barren earth.

Image source: Getty Images

What's up with the Wesfarmers share price?

Whilst ASX consumer discretionary shares are generally trading higher today, Wesfarmers shares have slipped lower.

Despite no market-sensitive updates, analysts at Citi have downgraded their recommendation on Wesfarmers from neutral to sell.

The investment bank anticipates that Australian households will have reduced capacity to spend on domestic retail in FY22 and FY23. It predicts the sector is set to face headwinds to the tune of $68 billion and $61 billion respectively.

It also expects "a further drag from additional interest rate increases and the resumption of normal travel activity in FY24".

The broker mentions both Harvey Norman and home hardware giant Bunnings throughout its review, noting the latter's softer earnings prospects.

It slashed its valuation on Wesfarmers by 16% to $42 per share, citing risks to "margins normalising back towards pre-COVID levels and slower revenue growth as the housing market cools".

Meanwhile, 25% of brokers covering the stock have Wesfarmers still rated as a buy while 50% have it rated as a hold, according to Bloomberg data.

The remaining 25% of coverage urges its clients to sell Wesfarmers shares. The consensus price target from this list is $49.60, raising questions on whether Wesfarmers is fairly priced at its current levels.

In the last 12 months, the Wesfarmers share price has compressed down by more than 8% after a 16% slump this year to date.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Sell written several times on board.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Tabcorp and NAB shares

A leading expert believes Tabcorp and NAB shares are likely to underperform into 2027.

Read more »

Woman and man worker in quarry on excavation machine looking at a clipboard.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Orica, GQG Partners, BHP shares

Let's start the week with some new ratings from the experts

Read more »

Woman using her laptop with her feet up.
Broker Notes

This ASX 200 stock just received a fresh buy rating and is tipped to climb 15%

This stock is set to keep rising.

Read more »

Smiling man paying for his order from his phone on an EFTPOS machine at a restaurant.
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett tips this ASX financials stock to double within the next 12 months 

This stock offers a big yield and big upside.

Read more »

A group of market analysts sit and stand around their computers in an open-plan office environment.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Coles, NAB, CSL shares

Here's what Dylan Evans from Catapult Wealth thinks of these three ASX 200 shares.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares to buy and 1 to sell now

Which shares is this expert bullish and bearish on?

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Wooden house models on a table with a man using a calculator.
Broker Notes

Why this expert believes it's time to exit positions in REA Group shares

One broker is calling time on this ASX 200 stock.

Read more »