Broker says Santos share price could storm 27% higher

Santos shares could be cheap even after rising 19% in 2022…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Santos shares have charged 19% higher since the start of the year
  • Rising oil prices have given its shares a boost
  • Analysts at Morgans still see major upside ahead for the Santos share price

The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price is pushing higher on Wednesday thanks to rising oil prices.

In afternoon trade, the energy producer's shares are up 1% to $7.88.

This means the Santos share price is up 19% since the start of the year.

Two brokers pointing and analysing a share price.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the Santos share price keep rising?

The good news for investors is that one leading broker believes there's still plenty of upside ahead for the Santos share price.

According to a note out of Morgans, its analysts have put an add rating and $10.00 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Santos share price, this implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Morgans notes that the company has announced a US$250 million share buyback. While it is not overly sure about the decision, it points out that this appears to indicate that management believes the Santos share price could be cheap. It said:

"It is good to see STO prioritising shareholder returns, particularly during periods of elevated earnings. In particular linking returns to FCF strength while leaving plenty of capacity for management to flex distributions.

Although it is harder to see the value proposition of the on-market share buyback at current prices. Other than a brief spike in early 2020 (pre COVID), STO is trading at its highest share price since 2014. This increases risk around the assumption that the buyback adds value. History has taught us that buybacks typically struggle to add value when conducted at cycle highs."

Nevertheless, the broker remains very positive on the investment opportunity here and believes its "growing earnings should ease any lingering market concerns around STO's balance sheet."

It has also recently stated that it expects "the resilience of STO's growth profile and diversified earnings base [to] see it best placed to outperform against a backdrop of a broader sector recovery."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Energy Shares

A graphic depicting a businessman in a business suit standing with his hand to his chin looking at a large red arrow pointing upwards above a line up of oil barrels againist the backdrop of a world map.
Energy Shares

Brent crude oil price jumps 12% amid Houthi bid to control alternative oil route

Houthis want to block Saudi Arabia's alternative oil export route in the Red Sea.

Read more »

An oil worker assesses productivity at an oil rig.
Energy Shares

$10,000 invested in Santos and Woodside shares 3 years ago is now worth…

How do the three-year returns from Santos and Woodside shares stack up?

Read more »

Man sits smiling at a computer showing graphs.
Energy Shares

Here's what brokers tip for Santos shares over the next 12 months

The oil and gas major's shares have already jumped 39% higher so far in 2026.

Read more »

Engineer in the oilfield wearing red helmet and work clothes, with pumpjack and wellhead in the background.
Energy Shares

Is the Santos share price still good value after rising 37% in 2026?

The shares are close to a 52-week high, yet I still see enough value to remain interested today.

Read more »

Two people wearing hard hats talking with each other at a mine site, with two workers in the background.
Energy Shares

Uranium is back. Three ASX shares that give you exposure

One clean producer, two turnaround bets.

Read more »

A male oil and gas mechanic wearing a white hardhat walks along a steel platform above a series of gas pipes in a gas plant.
Energy Shares

Santos shares on watch after major Papua LNG deal

Investors have another reason to watch this ASX 200 energy stock today.

Read more »

An oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face.
Energy Shares

How Woodside shares are building a 'unique position' to supply global LNG markets

Woodside shares are growing their exposure to global LNG markets.

Read more »

Oil industry worker in an oil field.
Energy Shares

These 2 ASX energy shares have 18-31% upside according to Bell Potter

These energy stocks are top buys.

Read more »