Down 80%, what's gone so wrong for Magellan (ASX:MFG) shares?

Magellan has had a stunning fall from grace. Let's look at why…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Magellan has been one of the ASX 200's most high-profile shares in recent years, and not in a good way
  • Magellan is now down around 80% from its 2020 all-time highs
  • So what is the root cause of these woes?

The Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG) share price… well, it hasn't been pretty, to say the least.

Magellan is now up almost 15% since Tuesday morning's trading. However, that doesn't hide the fact this fund manager is still down 27% in 2022 thus far, and down a nasty 66% over the past year alone.

With the $15.44 share price at the time of writing, it's hard to imagine it was only a bit over two years ago that this company was fetching more than $70 a share.

So what on earth has gone so wrong for Magellan?

Well, there has been a seeming cavalcade of bad news stemming from the company in recent times. We had the reportedly temporary departure of its former star stock picker, Hamish Douglass, in February for health reasons. This followed public revelations of Douglass' divorce. But we also had some high-profile institutional funds pulling their capital out of Magellan's management.

But perhaps the root cause here is the disappointing performance of Magellan's underlying investments. Most of the company's woes seem to start there.

Magellan isn't shy when it comes to charging management fees. Its flagship Magellan Global Fund, which has an ASX-listed version in Magellan Global Fund (ASX: MGF), bills investors 1.35% per annum. Its Magellan High Conviction Fund (ASX: MHHT) charges 1.5% per annum. That's many multiples higher than what a typical index fund charges. So it's fair to say that with management fees like that, investors expect significant market outperformance.

But unfortunately, that is something the company has struggled with in recent years.

A couple sits on a sofa, each clutching their heads in horror and disbelief, while looking at a laptop screen.

Image source: Getty Images

Magellan funds battle chronic underperformance

The Magellan Global Fund has returned 9.9% over the past 12 months, according to the company's latest data. That doesn't exactly look great against its MSCI World Net Total Return Index benchmark, which has given investors an 18.15% return over the same period. Over the past 5 years, the unlisted fund has returned an average of 11.65% per annum against the benchmark's 13.36% per annum. These metrics are after fees have been taken into account, by the way. It's only over the past 10 years that Magellan Global Fund beats its benchmark. But even then, it's by 0.01% per annum (15.23% versus 15.22%).

Magellan likes to say that its Global Fund has "downside protection built in". But over the past six months, the fund has lost 8.06% against the benchmark's 3.96%.

Although the company's High Conviction Fund doesn't use a benchmark, it has given investors a return of 10.27% per annum over the past five years, again below the MSCI's 13.36%.

So you get the picture. 

What's gone wrong?

Most of these woes stem from what seem to be poorly-timed investments. The company bet big on Chinese companies like Alibaba and Tencent, just before a series of Chinese regulatory crackdowns and geopolitical tensions saw investors lose faith en-masse in Chinese companies. 

Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX) was a major holding when the company dropped more than 20% upon an earnings report earlier this year. Netflix is now down more than 40% year to date. It was a similar story with Facebook, now Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: FB).

Now Magellan's co-founders have famously described themselves as disciples of Warren Buffett and his trademark buy-and-hold investing style.

Buffett has routinely been pilloried over his career for periods of underperformance, only to prove the doubters wrong again and again. Perhaps the same will happen with Magellan and its funds. But for investors who have been buying-and-holding Magellan funds or, indeed, Magellan shares, for years, patience would certainly be being tested.

At the current Magellan share price, this ASX 200 funds manager has a market capitalisation of $2.86 billion.

Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen owns Meta Platforms, Inc. and Magellan High Conviction Trust. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Meta Platforms, Inc. and Netflix. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Meta Platforms, Inc. and Netflix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Financial Shares

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Financial Shares

WAM Leaders wraps $225m placement, lifts FY26 dividend

WAM Leaders completed a $225m placement and declared a final fully franked dividend for FY26.

Read more »

Cheerful smiling businesswoman sitting on a chair and typing business report on a laptop keyboard.
Financial Shares

PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund delivers higher profit and bigger dividend in FY26

PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund grew profits and dividends in FY26 and set higher payout guidance for FY27.

Read more »

A businessman points to an arrow going up on a graph, indicating a share price rise for an ASX company.
Earnings Results

Up 98% since March, why are AMP shares leaping higher again on Thursday?

ASX investors are piling into AMP shares on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A smiling businessman sits at a desk with bags of money, indicating a share price rise after funding has been approved
Financial Shares

WAM Income Maximiser launches $125m entitlement offer and outlines dividend yield

WAM Income Maximiser launches a $125.4 million entitlement offer, giving shareholders a chance to participate at a discount.

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment at their office.
Earnings Results

Argo Investments FY26 earnings: Record dividends and outlook

Argo’s board has announced a move to quarterly dividend payments from next year.

Read more »

A casually dressed woman at home on her couch looks at index fund charts on her laptop.
Earnings Results

Pinnacle Investment Management: Profit up 31% on record funds inflow

The company revealed record net inflows of $33.4 billion in FY26.

Read more »

A smiling businessman sits at a desk with bags of money, indicating a share price rise after funding has been approved
Financial Shares

Whitefield Industrials launches on-market share buy-back for up to 10% of shares

Whitefield Industrials is set to buy back up to 10% of its shares on-market over the coming year.

Read more »

Smiling man working on his laptop.
Earnings Results

Credit Corp profit jumps 12% with fully franked dividend boost

The debt collector is paying a fully franked final dividend of 45.5 cents per share.

Read more »