Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) earnings will 'surprise on the upside': fundie

Here's why this fund has bought into the resources giant.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Alphinity Investment Management portfolio manager Andrew Martin is expecting big things from Rio Tinto
  • The fundie says the company's earnings could surprise the market when they drop next week
  • Martin is also excited about the company's exposure to iron ore and aluminium 

Owners of Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) shares might be in for a pleasant shock next week when the miner releases its earnings for 2021.

One broker has bought into the iron ore-focused resources giant on the belief its results will be better than expected.

Additionally, they think Rio Tinto's current share price of $119.94 makes its valuation reasonable.

Let's take a closer look at what the market might expect from Rio Tinto next Wednesday.

A cute little kid in a suit pulls a shocked face as he talks on his smartphone.

Image source: Getty Images

Could this help bolster the Rio Tinto share price?

Own Rio Tinto shares? Alphinity Investment Management portfolio manager Andrew Martin is expecting big things from the company's upcoming full-year results.

The fundie told the Australian Financial Review (AFR) the investment firm decided to buy into Rio Tinto, saying "its earnings are likely to surprise on the upside".

Additionally, Martin said the company's reserves of the red metal are "supported by similar reasoning to [BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP)]".

That reasoning, Martin outlined, was that higher Chinese demand for steel could see iron ore prices increasing.

Additionally, Rio Tinto's exposure to aluminium will likely be bolstered by high energy prices, the fundie told the publication.

A limit imposed on Chinese smelter capacity and demand for decarbonisation could also see its aluminium leg outperforming.  

According to Wood Mackenzie's Julian Kettle, aluminium is necessary for low-carbon energy supply. However, producing the material has created one of the world's most carbon-intensive industries.

Fortunately, Rio Tinto is making moves to lower emissions associated with aluminium production.

Its partnership with ELYSIS saw it successfully produce aluminium without direct greenhouse gas emissions in November.

It also invested US$87 million in upping its low carbon aluminium production in Canada last year.

Rio Tinto's aluminium production for 2021 came to around 3.2 million tonnes – 1% less than that of 2020, the company announced within its fourth-quarter results. It predicts that will be relatively flat for 2022.

Its average realised aluminium price for 2021 came to US$2,899 ­– 49% more than in 2020.

Additionally, the company's Pilbara iron ore production and shipments were also down 4% and 3% respectively for the full year.

Rio Tinto shares finished Thursday's trading up 1.16% at $119.94.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

St George Mining reports major Araxá resource upgrade

St George Mining share price is in focus after a major upgrade to its Araxá rare earths and niobium resource…

Read more »

A man checks his phone next to an electric vehicle charging station with his electric vehicle parked in the charging bay.
Resources Shares

ASX lithium shares are moving again. Is the recovery here to stay?

ASX lithium shares bounced last week. The fundamentals are less convincing.

Read more »

A young woman pumps her fists in excitement after seeing some good news on her laptop.
Resources Shares

South32 shares hit 10-year high: What's next?

South32’s future hinges on its base metals transformation.

Read more »

Three satisfied miners with their arms crossed looking at the camera proudly.
Resources Shares

Chrysos posts record FY26 earnings as PhotonAssay adoption accelerates

Chrysos reported record FY26 revenue and EBITDA, with strong global adoption of its PhotonAssay technology and an optimistic FY27 outlook.

Read more »

A brightly coloured graphic with a silver square showing the abbreviation Li and the word Lithium to represent lithium ASX shares such as Core Lithium with small coloured battery graphics surrounding
Resources Shares

Core Lithium drilling uncovers more high-grade lithium at BP33

Core Lithium delivers strong high-grade lithium intercepts from BP33 drilling and ramps up exploration nearby.

Read more »

Two mining workers on a laptop at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Tungsten Mining flags major drilling program at Watershed Project

Tungsten Mining shares are in the spotlight as the company launches major drilling at its flagship Watershed Project in Queensland.

Read more »

Miner team in the caves with their lights on and smiling
Resources Shares

BHP shares keep climbing: Is $70 the next stop?

BHP’s valuation is lofty, while commodity prices can swing sharply.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

3 reasons the BHP dividend could surprise on 18 August

Three reasons BHP's final dividend could beat expectations this reporting season.

Read more »