The Macquarie (ASX:MQG) share price has 'run hard': What's next?

Where next for Macquarie's shares?

| More on:
Confident male executive dressed in a dark blue suit leans against a doorway with his arms crossed in the corporate office

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Macquarie impressed the market with its third quarter update
  • The investment bank reported a record quarter thanks to two key businesses
  • The team at Morgans has given their verdict on its shares

Earlier this week the Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) share price charged higher after its third quarter operational update impressed the market.

In case you missed it, the investment bank revealed that it had a record quarter thanks to its market-facing Commodities and Global Markets and Macquarie Capital businesses. While not releasing any actual figures, management advised that their combined profit contribution was up "substantially" on the prior corresponding period.

All in all, this led to analysts across the country upgrading their profit expectations for the full year.

Is the Macquarie share price good value?

The team at Morgans has been running the rule over the update and has given its verdict on the Macquarie share price.

However, unfortunately for shareholders, the broker believes that the company's shares are trading at a fair value now and sees limited upside in the near term.

According to the note, the broker has retained its hold rating and $200.00 price target on the company's shares. This suggests potential upside of 3.5% for investors based on the current Macquarie share price of $193.28.

Morgans commented: "Overall MQG produced a record result in 3Q22, with FY22 outlook commentary more favourable than previously. The operational briefing was more longer-term focused, but again it reinforced MQG's favourable growth profile. We upgrade FY22F/FY23F EPS by ~17% driven by an uplift to forecasts in MQG's markets facing businesses."

However, for valuation reasons, the broker isn't shifting from its hold rating.

It concluded: "MQG is a quality franchise exposed to structural growth areas, and the company is clearly firing on all cylinders with a favourable operating environment. However, MQG's share price has run hard, and with MQG now trading on ~19x FY22F PE, we see the stock as closer to fair value – HOLD."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city, sitting back and relaxed, confident in his ASX share investments for the long term.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: AGL, Coles, and PLS shares

Are analysts bullish or bearish on these shares?

Read more »

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Experts rate these 2 ASX shares as buys this month!

Leading analysts say these stocks are a buy.

Read more »

Man reading an e-book with his feet up and piles of books next to him.
Broker Notes

What's Bell Potter's view on SGH shares after the BlueScope Steel acquisition proposal?

What should investors expect after Monday's announcement?

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: How does Morgans rate these ASX shares?

Morgans has been looking at a couple of popular shares.

Read more »

A man pulls a shocked expression with mouth wide open as he holds up his laptop.
Broker Notes

Why this beaten down ASX 200 stock could rise 50%

This stock could be dirt cheap according to analysts at Bell Potter.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Fortescue, Qantas, and WiseTech shares

Are these popular shares in the buy zone? Let's find out what analysts are saying.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Breville, Catalyst Metals, and Goodman shares

Let's see what analysts at Morgans are saying about these top stocks.

Read more »