IAG (ASX:IAG) share price on watch amid earnings miss but guidance upgrade

IAG had a difficult half…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • IAG has released a poor set of numbers for the first half
  • Its cash earnings have fallen well short of consensus estimates
  • However, it has upgraded its gross written premium guidance for FY 2022

The Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) share price will be on watch on this morning.

This follows the release of the insurance giant's half year results.

Two brokers analysing stocks.

Image source: Getty Images

IAG share price on watch after earnings tumble

  • Revenue down 4.4% to $9,233 million
  • Gross written premium (GWP) up 6.2% to $6,570
  • Insurance profit down 57.8% to $282 million
  • Cash earnings down 62% to $176 million
  • Reported insurance margin down 10.8 percentage points to 7.1%
  • Interim dividend down 14.3% to 6 cents per share

What happened during the half?

For the six months ended 31 December, IAG reported a 4.4% increase in revenue to $9,233 million but a 62% decline in cash earnings to $176 million. The latter falls well short of the consensus estimate of $285 million, which may not bode well for the IAG share price on Friday.

Management advised that this reflects the impact of a lower underlying insurance margin, higher net natural perils claims costs, a net strengthening of prior year reserves, and a lower gain from the narrowing of credit spreads.

This offset a 6.2% improvement in its GWP to $6,570 million, which was driven by a range of factors. These include higher premium rates and volume growth across personal short-tail classes in Direct Insurance Australia (DIA), significant premium rate increases in Intermediated Insurance Australia (IIA), and a combination of higher premium rates and good retention levels across all key portfolios.

In light of its softer performance, the IAG board has elected to cut its interim dividend to 6 cents per share. This represents the insurance company's lowest interim dividend in a decade.

Outlook

One thing that could lend some support to the IAG share price today was management's outlook for the full year.

Following stronger than expected GWP growth in the first half and ongoing supportive economic conditions, IAG has upgraded its GWP guidance from low to mid single-digit growth and reaffirmed its reported insurance margin guidance of 10% to 12%.

Management notes that the latter aligns to its aspirational goal to achieve a 15% to 17% insurance margin over the medium term.

IAG's CEO, Nick Hawkins, commented: "We have upgraded our FY22 gross written premium (GWP) guidance from low to mid single-digit growth reflecting the confidence we have in the business and future economic outlook. We've reaffirmed reported insurance margin guidance of 10-12% for FY22. We're encouraged by our strong GWP growth of 6.2% and sound underlying performance, with our underlying insurance margin improving to 15.1% (FY21: 14.7%)."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Insurance Australia Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Earnings Results

A group of business people sit dejectedly around a table, each expressing desolation, sadness, and disappointment by holding their head in their hands, casting their gazes down and looking very glum.
Bank Shares

Why are CBA shares crashing 8% today?

Australia's largest bank has released its quarterly update. Here's what it reported.

Read more »

Three women laughing and enjoying their gambling winnings while sitting at a poker machine.
Technology Shares

Aristocrat shares charge higher on strong result and $1b buy-back

This gaming technology company has delivered strong profit growth during the first half.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands after seeing bad news on his laptop screen.
Technology Shares

Why are Life360 shares sinking 8% today?

This tech stock has started the financial year strongly. Here's what it reported.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Earnings Results

Explosive ASX 200 share jumps 8% on first-half profit surge

Profits almost doubled during the first half. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Earnings Results

Macquarie shares slip despite FY26 profit jump

The investment bank had a very strong second half.

Read more »

A smiling man at a shop counter takes payment from a customer, with racks of plants in the background.
Earnings Results

Afterpay and Square owner Block shares jump 6% on strong results

This payments giant has outperformed expectations.

Read more »

Wife and husband with a laptop on a sofa over the moon at good news.
Earnings Results

FleetPartners shares surge 6% on half-year results

Earnings per share (EPS) also saw a strong lift, up 14% to 17.3 cents per share.

Read more »

A disappointed man slumps in his chair and holds his head while playing an online game.
Technology Shares

Why are Light & Wonder shares sinking 11% today?

The gaming technology company's quarterly result wasn't as strong as hoped.

Read more »