Here's why the Telstra (ASX:TLS) share price could be an opportunity: analysts

Telstra shares could be an opportunity.

| More on:
A young woman in a red polka-dot dress holds an old-fashioned green telephone set in one hand and raises the phone to her ear representing the Telstra share price and the opportunity for investors in FY23

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Telstra shares are viewed as an opportunity by several leading analysts
  • It has made two, useful bolt-on acquisitions in recent months
  • The T25 strategy is expected to increase profitability and lead to growing dividends over time

The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price looks like an opportunity according to some analysts.

Despite the recent drop of the ASX share market, Telstra shares are still actually up by 25% over the past year.

It has been a big year of strategic moves by the business. Analysts are taking note and think that the company could be an opportunity.

Analyst ratings on the Telstra share price

Ord Minnett currently rates the Telstra share price as a buy with a price target of $4.85. That's a potential increase of more than 20% this year if the broker is right.

Another broker that likes the telco is Credit Suisse, which rates it as a buy with a price target of $4.40.

Morgans rates the Telstra share price as a buy with a price target of $4.55.

What are the experts seeing?

The telco giant has made two acquisitions in the last several months that can diversify and help grow the company's earnings over the long-term.

MedicalDirector deal

Telstra Health has bought a business called MedicalDirector for an enterprise value of $350 million.

It's described as a leading GP clinical and practice management software company. It helps the specialists focus on providing high-quality care and reducing time on paperwork and administration. At the time of the acquisition, it supported approximately 23,000 medical practitioners and is used to deliver more than 80 million consultations a year.

Digicel Pacific acquisition

One of the most interesting acquisitions on the ASX in 2021 was the purchase of the Digicel Pacific business in partnership with the Australian Government. The purchase price for the South Pacific telco was US$1.6 billion and up to an additional US$250 million subject to business performance.

The Digicel Pacific business will be owned and operated by Telstra. The ASX telco is providing US$270 million of equity to the purchase price, whilst the Australian Government will provide the remaining US$1.33 billion through a combination of non-recourse debt facilities and equity-like securities.

It has a "strong" market position in the South Pacific region, with a leading position in PNG, Nauru, Samoa, Tonga and Vanuatu. Digicel is number two in Fiji.

Digicel Pacific made US$233 million of earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) in the 12 months to 31 March 2021.

T25 strategy

One of the main things that analysts are now focused on in regards to the Telstra share price is its strategy for the next few years, called T25.

It involves ongoing expansion of 5G coverage and regional 4G coverage, increasing customer satisfaction and increasing the number of Telstra Plus members to 6 million.

On the financial side of things, to FY25, Telstra wants to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of mid-single digits for underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) and high-teens for underlying earnings per share (EPS).

The company is also looking to reduce its net fixed costs by another $500 million.

Telstra also said that it's looking to maximise its fully franked dividends and seek to grow them over time.

Telstra share price valuation

Using Ord Minnett's numbers, Telstra shares are valued at 21x FY23's estimated earnings with a grossed-up dividend yield of 5.8%.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Communication Shares

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
Communication Shares

Aussie Broadband shares sink 2% on ACCC report

The ruling is expected to result in a small reduction of the company’s EBITDA in the coming years.

Read more »

a man in a shirt and tie looks to the horizon holding his hand above his eyes as if to shield the sun so he can see better.
Communication Shares

Why is everyone talking about Telstra shares this week?

All eyes are on the telco this week.

Read more »

A woman wearing headphones looks delighted and animated on news she's receiving from her mobile phone that she is holding close to her face.
Communication Shares

Superloop versus Aussie Broadband shares: Buy, sell or hold?

There is one winner among the two telcos.

Read more »

a line up of job interview candidates sit in chairs against a wall clutching CVs on paper in an office setting.
Communication Shares

Seek shares tipped to storm 45% higher next year: Here's why

Macquarie shares its view on the latest employment report for November.

Read more »

A handful of Australian $100 notes, indicating a cash position
Communication Shares

$30,000 of Telstra shares can net me $1,671 of passive income!

Investors can call on Telstra to deliver major income.

Read more »

Man holding a smartphone with an internet router in front of him.
Communication Shares

Could 2026 be a turning point for TPG? Here's what I'm watching

TPG has had a rough run, but the roadmap for 2026 offers a few important moments that could shift sentiment.

Read more »

woman on phone
Communication Shares

Up 24% in a year! The red-hot Telstra share price is smashing BHP, Westpac and Coles

The Aussie telco's shares stormed higher over the past 12 months.

Read more »

A TV remote in focus with a screen of Netflix options in the background.
Communication Shares

Where to from here for these 2 ASX 200 media shares

Brokers see upside, but are more cautious.

Read more »