Why did the Rio Tinto share price (ASX:RIO) have such a lousy 2021?

We look at what happened to this ASX 200 mining giant's shares last year

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price came crashing down in 2021, despite a positive start to the year.

The mining company's share price fell from $113.83 to $100.11 during the year, shedding 12%. In comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) gained around 13%.

Let's examine what may have impacted this ASX 200 share in 2021.

Worker in hard hat looks puzzled with one hand on chin

Image source: Getty Images

Iron ore prices

The Rio Tinto share price recorded gains in the first half of the year before collapsing from August to November. The company's share price then picked up in late November to finish the year off in style.

In the first six months of the year, Rio Tinto shares gained nearly 12%. Shares in the mining giant climbed 15% between market close on 5 February and 25 February. Strong iron ore prices, a record dividend payout from the company, and positive financial results all weighed positively with investors.

The company reported a 3% increase in sales revenue to US$44,611 million and a 13.4% boost in iron revenue. Rio Tinto also rewarded shareholders by declaring a fully franked final dividend of US$4.02 (A$5.19) per share.

March to May also saw the company's share price explode on the back of record iron ore prices and well-received first-quarter production results. In the first quarter of FY 2021, the company shipped 77.8 million tonnes of Pilbara iron ore, a 7% increase. Rio Tinto shares surged more than 24% between 22 March and 10 May.

However, from August to November the Rio Tinto share price came crashing down to earth. As Motley Fool Australia noted at the time, investors were selling down the mining company's shares due to falling iron ore prices.

The company also downgraded its production targets for 2021. A third-quarter trading update in mid-October slightly pushed the share price down, with the Covid-19 virus impacting production results. Between market close on 4 August and 5 November, the Rio Tinto share price dropped 30%. Iron ore prices fell 48% in this same time frame.

Then came the bounce back. The Rio Tinto share price recovered nearly 12% between 18 November and 31 December. The iron ore price increased nearly 31% during this same time period, likely impacting investor sentiment.

The company also announced two major lithium projects. Rio Tinto will acquire the Rincon lithium project in Argentina for $1.15 billion and the Jadar project in Serbia for $3.3 billion.

Rio Tinto share price snapshot

In the past month, the company's shares have gained around 7%, while they are up 2% this week. At the time of writing, they are trading at $102.23, up 1.74%.

Looking ahead, as my Foolish colleague James reported this week, opinion on the outlook for the company's share price is divided.

Macquarie Group Ltd has a $135 price target, while Morgans has a hold rating and a $104 price target.

The company has a mammoth market capitalisation of nearly $37 billion based on its current share price.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

A man in a hard hat and high visibility vest holds his thumb up in a gesture of confidence with heavy moving equipment in the background as on a mine site as the Chalice Mining share price rises today.
Resources Shares

Capricorn Metals expands Golden Range Project with Piastri acquisition

Capricorn Metals boosts its Western Australian footprint by acquiring the Piastri Project, expanding gold and antimony exploration potential.

Read more »

A hand holding a lump of rare earths material against a blue sky.
Resources Shares

Brazilian Rare Earths unveils Rocha da Rocha scoping study

Brazilian Rare Earths shares are in focus after a landmark scoping study forecast world-leading economics for its Rocha da Rocha…

Read more »

Miner standing in front of trucks and smiling, symbolising a rising share price.
Resources Shares

If I invest $10,000 in Fortescue shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

The dividend outlook for this major miner might surprise you.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Resources Shares

Wia Gold completes $125m placement to fund Kokoseb Gold Project

Wia Gold completes $125 million placement to fully fund the Kokoseb Gold Project following resource growth and feasibility success.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Up 73%! 3 reasons I'd still buy Mineral Resources shares today

A leading expert forecasts more outperformance from Mineral Resources' surging shares.

Read more »

Pile of copper pipes.
Resources Shares

This ASX mining stock could jump in value by more than 300%: Broker

A new acquisition ticks the right boxes.

Read more »

gold, gold miner, gold discovery, gold nugget, gold price,
Resources Shares

Medallion Metals announces Macmahon as preferred contractor for Ravensthorpe Gold Project

Medallion Metals names Macmahon as preferred mining contractor for its Ravensthorpe Gold Project, unlocking contract cost savings and project momentum.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

St George Mining reports major Araxá resource upgrade

St George Mining share price is in focus after a major upgrade to its Araxá rare earths and niobium resource…

Read more »