Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR) share price sinks 9% after Kathleen Valley DFS

This lithium share is falling on Thursday…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Liontown Resources Limited (ASX: LTR) share price is back from its trading halt and has tumbled lower.

At the time of writing, the lithium developer's shares are down over 9% to $1.69.

A young woman with tattoos puts both thumbs down and scrunches her face.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Liontown Resources share price tumbling?

Investors have been selling down the Liontown Resources share price this morning despite the release of its definitive feasibility study (DFS).

According to the release, the DFS confirms the potential to develop a state-of-the-art, second-generation lithium-tantalum mining and processing operation at the 100%-owned Kathleen Valley Project in Western Australia's north-eastern Goldfields.

The release notes that the DFS base production has been increased from 2Mtpa to 2.5Mtpa, producing ~500ktpa of spodumene concentrate with a 4Mtpa expansion planned in year six, to deliver ~700ktpa spodumene concentrate.

In respect to costs, Liontown revealed that its pre-production capital cost estimate has increased to $473 million.

Nevertheless, the company estimates that the project has a post-tax net present value (NPV) of $4.2 billion, a payback of 2.3 years, and post-tax Life of Mine (LOM) free cash flow of $12.2 billion.

First production is expected to commence in the first half of 2024. This is a full year earlier than originally planned. Management notes that this will be when demand for lithium is forecast to accelerate significantly due to the stronger adoption of electric vehicles globally.

Liontown's Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, Tony Ottaviano, commented: "The completion of the DFS marks a major step towards Liontown becoming a substantial global lithium producer and, together with the Updated Downstream Scoping Study also released today, lays very strong foundations for our aspiration to become a world-class battery materials company."

So why are its shares falling?

The weakness in the Liontown share price may be due to some of the inputs being used in its NPV.

For example, the company's DFS assumes a long term weighted average US$1,392/t Free on Board (FOB) LOM spodumene price. As a comparison, in July, Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) used an average price of US$731 per tonne.

Some investors may believe Liontown's estimate is unrealistic over the long term (given the likely increase in supply at those prices) and is inflating the value of the project.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Fallers

Woman with a concerned look on her face holding a credit card and smartphone.
Share Fallers

Why EOS, Newmont, Webjet, and WIA Gold shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a rough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Lynas, PLS, and TechnologyOne shares are falling today

These shares are having a poor session on Tuesday. What's going on?

Read more »

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why A2 Milk, Brambles, Elders, and Tuas shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Alkane Resources, Bapcor, PLS, and Resolute Mining shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Lines of codes and graphs in the background with woman looking at laptop trying to understand the data.
Share Fallers

Why CBA, Paladin Energy and CSL shares crashed  9% to 17% this week

Investors sent Paladin Energy, CSL, and CBA shares tumbling this week. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Bapcor, Coles, Graincorp, and Xero shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a poor session on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

A woman looks shocked as she drinks a coffee while reading the paper.
Share Fallers

Why on earth is the Bapcor share price crashing 21% on Thursday?

Investors are pummelling Bapcor shares today. But why?

Read more »

A couple sits on a sofa, each clutching their heads in horror and disbelief, while looking at a laptop screen.
Healthcare Shares

Down 59%: Will CSL shares ever regain momentum?

Here's what to expect over the next 12 months.

Read more »