Why has the Origin (ASX:ORG) share price rallied 17% in 3 weeks?

Could the energy crisis be providing an opportunity for Origin?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) share price has been on a tear in recent weeks. In fact, shares in the energy company have gained 17% in the space of just three weeks.

Many ASX-listed energy shares have been rising in recent weeks as high demand meets constricted supply for energy resources. Illustrating the situation, the price of natural gas in Europe at the moment is at least 5 times higher than it was last year.

A group of businesspeople clapping.

Image source: Getty Images

Keeping the lights on

A number of various factors have combined to create a difficult energy scenario in Europe. In addition, fears are building that lacking energy supply will flow across China and India in the near term. While the gas industry believes this situation will be a temporary one, that doesn't change the current scarcity.

As such, countries are buying up supplies where they can at almost any cost. On 1 October, the Chinese government instructed its energy companies to secure supply at all costs, compounding the global price hike. Despite this, China continues to experience widespread power outages as it struggles to meet demand.

All of this bodes well for Origin and its share price. As the company's CEO Frank Calabria stated in its FY21 annual report:

Australia Pacific LNG was outstanding, safely curtailing output when the market was subdued, and rapidly ramping up production when demand recovered, matching previous daily production records and shipping a record 130 cargoes for the year.

Investors are likely speculating over the potential benefit the shortages could bring to the growth of Origin's Octopus Energy investment. Already, it's been revealed that Octopus Energy has tripled in value to £3 billion since its original investment in May 2020.

With fossil fuel prices spiralling out of control, more customers may be drawn to Octopus Energy's renewable alternative. Octopus supplies 100% green energy sourced from solar, wind, or hydro sources.

Origin share price snapshot

Although the Origin share price has performed well recently, it still is dwarfed by the benchmark on longer timeframes.

For instance, the energy company's shares have increased 14% in value over the past 12 months. Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) delivered a gain of 17.5% during the same period.

Similarly, Origin shares have gained 4% since the start of the year while the ASX 200 is up nearly 9%.

Lastly, for dividend investors, the company is offering a dividend yield of 3.94% at the current Origin share price.

Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Energy Shares

Crude oil barrels rocketing.
Energy Shares

The Santos share price is in the spotlight this week. Here's why

Here's why everyone is buying into Santos shares at the moment.

Read more »

Two IT professionals walk along a wall of mainframes in a data centre discussing various things
Energy Shares

Gas producer or data centre company? Why is this ASX energy share up 16%

This company has made an interesting move into technology.

Read more »

Rocket going up above mountains, symbolising a record high.
Energy Shares

Up 1,511% in a year, guess which ASX uranium share is storming higher again on Wednesday

Investors are piling into this surging ASX uranium stock again today. But why?

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

Beach Energy posts steady Q4 production and a resilient outlook

The energy producer has released its eagerly anticipated quarterly update.

Read more »

A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.
Energy Shares

Paladin Energy sets FY2027 Langer Heinrich uranium guidance

The uranium producer has revealed its expectations for FY 2027.

Read more »

Lakes in the form of footsteps among the green trees, indicating steps towards a healthier planet.
Energy Shares

Mercury NZ trading margin jumps 33% as renewables drive Q4 result

Mercury NZ delivered a strong Q4 with trading margin up 33% and progress in renewable energy projects.

Read more »

A service station attendant crosses his arms and smiles towards the camera with a backdrop of petrol bowsers and a drive-through facility.
Energy Shares

Ampol shares rallied 40% to hit fresh 2-year high. Buy, sell or hold?

The fuel distributor and retailer's shares have stormed higher over the past year.

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles.
Broker Notes

Up 20%, are Yancoal shares still a good buy right now?

A leading analyst provides his forecast for Yancoal’s outperforming shares.

Read more »