Top broker sees 18% upside for the Beach (ASX:BPT) share price

This broker thinks the Beach share price is good value…

| More on:
Four people in business suits and white hard hats sit in front of desk and cheer

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) share price has been a relatively positive performer today.

The energy company's shares are currently trading a fraction higher at $1.37.

This compares to a 1% decline by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) this afternoon.

Why is the Beach share price outperforming?

The Beach share price appears to be faring better than others today due to a number of positive broker notes.

One of those came from the team at Bell Potter. This morning the broker retained its buy rating and lifted its price target on the company's shares to $1.62.

Based on the current Beach share price, this implies potential upside of 18% over the next 12 months.

The broker is also forecasting a 1.5% dividend yield, bringing the total potential return to almost 20%.

What did the broker say?

According to the note, the broker was pleased with Beach's investor update and its plan to increase its production to 28 MMboe by FY 2024. This represents a 27% increase on the midpoint of its FY 2022 guidance.

Bell Potter commented: "BPT has a strong, fully funded energy production growth outlook. This production growth is diversified across five energy basins and across four separate gas markets, including the global LNG trade. The company should benefit from tightening east coast gas markets and international LNG markets flowing through to higher realised prices. BPT is trading at materially lower earnings multiples compared with its ASX-listed peers."

The broker also suspects that Beach may outperform its targets. It has pencilled in production of 29.5 MMboe in FY 2024.

It explained: "We are forecasting production of 29.5MMboe in FY24. This forecast assumes production at the Cooper Basin Joint Venture, BassGas and Kupe to remain steady, Western Flank to decline to 4MMboe per year, successful ramp-up to near nameplate capacity at the Victorian Otway to 7.3MMboe per year and an expansion in production at the Perth Basin assets to 5.2MMboe per year."

All in all, the broker feels this makes the Beach share price good value at the current level.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

a woman puts her hand to her chin and looks to the side deep in thought as though pondering something significant.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 gold shares to buy and 1 to sell: experts

After exceptional share price growth for 2 years, experts say investors need to choose their gold stocks carefully.

Read more »

Keyboard button with the word sell on it, symbolising the time being right to sell ASX stocks.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 materials was the best sector of 2025 but it's time to sell these 3 shares: broker

Morgan Stanley has just updated its ratings and 12-month price targets on 3 ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

Man putting in a coin in a coin jar with piles of coins next to it.
Broker Notes

Two ASX penny stocks Bell Potter thinks are worth watching in 2026

Bell Potter is tipping upside on these penny stocks.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Broker Notes

Why Bell Potter just upgraded this ASX All Ords share to a buy rating

The broker has turned bullish on this growing company. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says these ASX shares are best buys in January

The broker has good things to say about these shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A group of people push and shove through the doors of a store, trying to beat the crowd.
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares highly recommended to buy: Experts

Are these two stocks the best buys on the ASX?

Read more »