This analyst rates the Telstra (ASX:TLS) share price a buy

Is it time to buy Telstra's shares?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price has been among the best performers on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) this year.

Since the start of the year, the telco giant's shares have risen a massive 31%.

This means the Telstra share price has more than tripled the return of the ASX 200 index over the same period.

Young boy of African American heritage standing in a field with a green mask and cape shouting through a cardboard megaphone.

Image source: Getty Images

Where next for the Telstra share price?

Despite its impressive gain this year, one leading broker believes the Telstra share price can keep rising.

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have retained their buy rating and lifted their price target on the company's shares to $4.40.

Based on the latest Telstra share price of $3.95, this implies potential upside of 11% over the next 12 months.

And with the broker expecting another 16 cents per share fully franked dividend in FY 2022, the potential return stretches to just over 15%.

What did the broker say?

Goldman was pleased with the company's recent T25 update and notes that management is targeting strong earnings growth in the coming years.

The broker commented: "Telstra held its T25 Investor Day, with the key strategic/financial updates consistent with our prior expectations. FY25 targets for strong earnings growth were provided, implying a high degree of confidence in the outlook, given expectations for mid-single digit EBITDA growth p.a. and a similar quantum of mobile service revenue growth. However despite EBITDA being in-line with GSe, expectation for high teens EPS growth was marginally below, given D&A, interest & minorities."

Goldman was also pleased to see its dividend policy revert back and is expecting share buybacks in the future.

It explained: "Telstra also revised its dividend policy back towards 100% of EPS, as it prioritizes growing franked dividends over time, while using the c.$600mn p.a. (c.5¢ps) of additional FCF to invest for growth or return to shareholders. On-market buybacks & un-franked dividends were highlighted, but we expect buybacks to be prioritized given the focus on growing franked dividends."

In light of the above, the broker believes the Telstra share price is in the buy zone right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Happy man working on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man sits thoughtfully on the couch with a laptop on his lap.
Broker Notes

3 buy-rated ASX shares in today's falling market

The market is now 4% down in 2026, but amid the volatility, experts say there are good buys available.

Read more »

a group of three cybersecurity experts stand with satisfied looks on their faces with one holding a laptop computer while he group stands in front of a large bank of computers and electronic equipment.
Broker Notes

Why Bell Potter is bullish on this ASX cybersecurity stock with 44% upside

This growing company could be worth considering according to the broker.

Read more »

an older couple look happy as they sit at a laptop computer in their home.
Broker Notes

This ASX 300 stock could deliver a 25% return

Bell Potter rates this stock highly. Let's see what it is recommending.

Read more »

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

6 ASX All Ords shares at 52-week lows: Experts say buy

Here are the experts' 12-month share price targets on each of these buy-rated stocks.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: What this leading broker is saying about Lynas shares

Is it bullish or bearish? Let's find out.

Read more »

share buyers, investors, happy investors
Broker Notes

Bell Potter's top ASX 200 holdings revealed

These are the top holdings in the broker's core portfolio.

Read more »

An athlete runs fast with a trail of yellow smoke billowing out behind him.
Broker Notes

Up 139% in a year, why this buy rated ASX All Ords rare earths stock could keep racing higher

A leading broker forecasts more outperformance to come from this surging ASX rare earths stock.

Read more »