Broker tips Suncorp (ASX:SUN) share price to shoot higher

Suncorp's shares could have room to climb…

| More on:
A smartly-dressed businesswoman walks outside while making a trade on her mobile phone.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN) share price has been on form in 2021.

Since the beginning of the year, the banking and insurance giant's shares have risen 28% to $12.59.

This means the Suncorp share price is now trading within sight of its 52-week high of $13.26.

Where next for the Suncorp share price?

The good news for shareholders is that one leading broker not only believes the Suncorp share price can go higher, but also that it can make a new 52-week high.

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have a buy rating and $13.74 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Suncorp share price, this suggests that there's still 9% upside over the next 12 months before dividends.

In addition, the broker is forecasting a 61 cents per share fully franked dividend in FY 2022. Combined, this brings the total potential return to just under 14%.

What did the broker say?

Goldman Sachs was pleased with Suncorp's performance in FY 2021 and notes that it delivered earnings ahead of expectations.

And while it acknowledges that the Suncorp share price has rallied hard this year, it still sees enough value to maintain a buy rating.

Goldman explained: "While it is now harder to argue that SUN is cheap, we have nonetheless maintained our Buy rating, where we see good momentum in the business, plus near-term earnings risks as skewed positively."

There are four reasons why it believes the risks are skewed to the upside.

They are: "1) provided pressure does not mount on the industry to return recent motor frequency benefits, SUN will almost certainly record gains in 1H22 (potential for c.5% upside in EPS), 2) SUN's recent reserve development remains well above its normalised 1.5% release assumption and noted relative comfort in the outlook (GSe 1.5% assumed, and a result closer to FY21 experience would equate to c.3% upside), 3) scope for further banking collective provision release (A$60m of A$155m COVID overlay released in FY21), and 4) into FY23 if we were to calibrate to the mid-point of SUN's insurance margin targets alongside the bank cost/income ratio target we would see c.10% upside."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A young man sits at his desk working on his laptop with a big smile on his face.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

busy trader on the phone in front of board depicting asx share price risers and fallers
Resources Shares

Brokers issue new price targets on soaring ASX 200 mining shares

ASX 200 mining shares BHP, PLS Group, South32, and many others hit multi-year highs this week.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Why Bell Potter just upgraded this smashing ASX 200 stock

After rising over 100% in 12 months, Bell Potter believes there is more to come.

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Catalyst Metals, NRW, and Paladin Energy shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these ASX 200 shares.

Read more »

Broker checking out the share price oh his smartphone and laptop.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 2 ASX shares to buy and 1 to hold

Which ones are buys and which one is a hold? Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Morgans gives its verdict on 3 ASX shares

Here's what the broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this beaten down ASX 200 stock is a buy

This blue chip could be worth looking at following recent weakness.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »