Why this analyst sees 15% upside for the Coles (ASX:COL) share price

This supermarket giant's shares have been named as a buy…

| More on:
A happy, smiling woman rides on the back of a trolley down the aisles of a supermarket.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price has been out of form in 2021.

Since the start of the year, the supermarket giant's shares have fallen almost 7%.

Is the Coles share price in the buy zone?

One leading broker sees the weakness in the Coles share price this year as a buying opportunity.

According to a recent note out of Morgans, its analysts have an add rating and $19.80 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Coles share price of $17.28, this implies potential upside of almost 15% over the next 12 months before dividends.

But the returns don't stop there. Morgans is forecasting a fully franked dividend of 61 cents per share in FY 2022. If you include this, the potential return on offer stretches to over 18%.

What did the broker say?

Morgans is a fan of Coles due to its strong market position and the belief that consumers will continue to stay at home due to COVID-19. The broker expects this to support solid sales across its 800+ store supermarket network.

And while rival Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) will benefit from the same trends, the broker notes that its shares trade on significantly higher multiples. As a result, it sees far more value in the Coles share price at present.

Morgans commented: "While vaccines are being rolled out across Australia, we think people will continue to spend more time at home due to the ongoing risk of COVID flare-ups with the working-from-home trend also likely to stay for some time (eg, Sydney and Melbourne remain in lockdown indefinitely)."

"This will be beneficial for the major supermarket operators. We continue to see COL (~24x FY22F PE and ~3.5% yield) as offering better value than WOW (32x FY22F PE and 2.5% yield)," it added.

Overall, it feels this makes the Coles share price a good option right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Goldman says buy this ASX 200 share for a 14% annual return

This overlooked stock could be a good option for investors according to the broker.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies is closely with large wine barrels in the background, stored in a brick walled wine cellar.
Broker Notes

2 undervalued ASX 200 shares with 'significant catalysts ahead'

We reveal the ASX 200 coal and wine stocks that this fund manager has selected for additional investment.

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Broker Notes

1 ASX 200 energy stock with 'minimal competition' to buy right now

This stock is trading 30% lower than its 2022 record high.

Read more »

happy investor, share price rise, increase, up
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 25% to 50%

Analysts believe these shares could deliver big returns for investors.

Read more »

a smiling woman sits at her computer at home with a coffee alongside her, as if pleased with her investments.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Goldman Sachs says this ASX 200 mining share is in for a 33% whack

The top broker predicts a fairly miserable 12 months ahead for this diversified miner.

Read more »