Top broker says Transurban (ASX:TCL) share price is a buy

Here's an option for income investors…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) share price has been underperforming the market in 2021.

Since the start of the year, the toll road operator's shares have risen 4.5% to $14.32.

This compares to a gain of 12.5% by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

Two women in a 4WD vehicle with Carbon Revolution wheels drive along laughing with one throwing her arms in the air

Image source: Getty Images

Is the Transurban share price good value?

One leading broker believes the Transurban share price is good value at the current level.

According to a note out of Macquarie, its analysts have retained their outperform rating but trimmed their price target slightly to $14.66.

However, given that the Transurban share price is currently trading at $14.32, the upside potential is reasonably limited.

Nevertheless, Transurban could be a good option for income investors on the search for dividends that could grow in the coming years.

The note reveals that the broker is forecasting dividends per share of 42.3 cents in FY 2022 and then 64.3 cents in FY 2023.

Based on the current Transurban share price, this equates to yields of 3% and 4.5%, respectively, over the next two financial years.

What did the broker say?

Macquarie has revised its earnings forecasts lower to reflect a lengthier than previously expected lockdown. However, it continues to believe that traffic volumes will bounce back quickly once the reopening takes place.

And while it sees downside risk to dividends per share if the reopening takes even longer and also if the company needs to raise capital for its WestConnex acquisition, it believes it is worth sticking with the company.

This is due to Transurban's pipeline of growth projects and the long term benefits of the aforementioned acquisition.

Macquarie isn't alone with its bullish view on the Transurban share price. Last month Ord Minnett put a buy rating and $15.50 price target on its shares. It remains positive due to the strong demand for infrastructure assets.

It commented: "We believe the market value of Transurban's assets remains well ahead of the implied value."

"We believe this supports the underlying thesis on Transurban and is more important than the short-term impact lockdowns are having on traffic and free cash flow," it added.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Broker Notes

What are brokers predicting for BHP shares over the next 12 months?

Have the mining giant's shares reached their peak? Or can they keep climbing? Let's find out.

Read more »

A young woman wearing a red and white striped t-shirt puts her hand to her chin and looks sideways as she wonders whether to buy ASX shares
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Aristocrat, Lovisa, Bendigo Bank shares

Here's what some experts think.

Read more »

A businesswoman on the phone is shocked as she looks at her watch, she's running out of time.
Broker Notes

Is this ASX 200 share a sell after announcing a $30-40 million EBITA hit?

Morgans has lowered its outlook on Worley shares.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

Should you buy BHP shares ahead of the miner's production update?

BHP shares could see some big moves after the miner reports its March production results this week.

Read more »

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell? Coles, Wesfarmers, BHP shares

ASX 200 shares are in the red as the global oil shock continues to concern investors.

Read more »

Health professional working on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Are Orthocell shares a buy after crashing 7% yesterday?

These healthcare shares could be on discount right now.

Read more »

a happy man eats pizza in his kitchen with a long string of cheese between the pizza slice in his hand and in his mouth.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Collins Foods, Domino's, and Guzman Y Gomez shares

Bell Potter has given its verdict on these popular shares this morning.

Read more »

Man pointing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

Why WiseTech shares could rise 70%

Bell Potter is urging investors to buy this tech stock before it rebounds.

Read more »