Top broker names Appen (ASX:APX) share price as a buy

The Appen share price has lost half of its value this year. Is this a buying opportunity?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price certainly has been out of form in 2021.

Since the start of the year, the artificial intelligence data services company's shares are down 50%.

This compares to a 12% gain by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) over the same period.

man on phone researching Fintech reports

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Appen share price under pressure on 2021?

Investors have been selling down the Appen share price this year due to the impact that COVID-19 was having on demand for its services.

In May Appen's CEO, Mark Brayan, commented: "COVID interrupted many businesses last year and that in turn reduced their digital ad spend for a period. This impacted our major customers' sources of revenue, and although digital ad spend has bounced back nicely, that experience is driving them to invest in new AI products that are less reliant on advertising."

Also weighing on the Appen share price were comments about data privacy and anti-trust concerns that were impacting developments.

Mr Brayan said: "Our customers are developing new AI products in response to COVID's impact on online advertising last year and regulatory pressures such as anti-trust and data privacy. This dictates the data they need for product development and impacts their engineering resource allocations and the volumes and types of data they need from us."

"As stated before, machine learning is an iterative process, and our customers are switching resources between development projects as they pursue new break-out products. This in turn has impacted a handful of our larger programs," he added.

Is this a buying opportunity?

One leading broker that believes the weakness in the Appen share price could be a buying opportunity is Citi.

A note from this month reveals that its analysts have retained their buy rating and $18.80 price target on the company's shares.

This is despite the broker suspecting that a slower recovery in demand could lead to Appen falling short of the market's first half EBITDA estimates this month due to lower margins.

Citi is expecting EBITDA of US$27 million for the half, which is ~20% lower than consensus estimates.

Based on the current Appen share price of $12.71, Citi's price target implies potential upside of 48% over the next 12 months.

Citi is more positive on its longer term prospects. It believes Appen is well placed to benefit from the higher spending on artificial intelligence in the future. It also expects the company to leverage its increased capabilities and expand its addressable market.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Technology Shares

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Technology Shares

DroneShield share price jumps after reporting 121% Q1 revenue increase

This counter-drone technology company continued its strong growth in the first quarter.

Read more »

Man on a tablet in a room with data centre technology.
Technology Shares

Why are NextDC shares storming higher today?

This data centre operator is experiencing a surge in demand.

Read more »

Happy shareholders clap and smile as they listen to a company earnings report.
Technology Shares

NEXTDC completes $1bn institutional entitlement offer to fund growth

NEXTDC completes a $1bn institutional entitlement offer and launches a $0.5bn retail offer to support its data centre growth strategy.

Read more »

a group of young people dance together with their hands in the air, moving to music as they celebrate ASX 200 shares rising today.
Technology Shares

DroneShield delivers record 1Q26 revenue and cash receipts

DroneShield reported record sales, strong cash flow, and ongoing expansion for 1Q26.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Technology Shares

Bell Potter says this speculative ASX tech stock could rise 100%+

This growing company has caught the eye of the broker. Let's see why.

Read more »

Two IT professionals walk along a wall of mainframes in a data centre discussing various things
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy NextDC shares today

A leading analyst believes NextDC shares are well-positioned to deliver long-term growth.

Read more »

A wad of $100 bills of Australian currency lies stashed in a bird's nest.
Technology Shares

If you invested $10,000 in this ASX defence stock 1 year ago, here's how much you'd have now

This ASX defence stock has delivered a massive return in the past 12 months.

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop with a financial graph superimposed across the image.
Technology Shares

2 ASX tech shares to buy as sector rockets back: experts

After seven months of sharp decline, a rebound appears to be underway.

Read more »