Down 8%: Is the CBA (ASX:CBA) share price a buy?

Could the CBA share price be worth looking at after falling 8%?

| More on:
NAB share price Broken white piggy bank on red background

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price has dropped around 8% since 11 August 2021. Does that mean that the big four ASX bank is now a buy?

What happened?

On 11 August 2021, the country's biggest bank reported its FY21 result.

There were a number of interesting things announced and revealed in that report.

It said that statutory net profit after tax (NPAT) grew by 19.7% to $8.84 billion and cash NPAT increased 19.8% to $8.65 billion.

The bank explained that NPAT increased due to improved economic conditions and outlook resulting in a lower impairment expense and a strong operational performance.

A noticeable part of the profitability improvement came from a reduction of the loan impairment expense, which fell by 78%, compared to FY20, to $554 million. This loan impairment expense decrease reflected an improvement in economic conditions and outlook. However, it has maintained a "strong" provision coverage ratio of 1.63%, reflecting the economic uncertainty from the continuing impacts of COVID-19.

It was the concerns about bad debts that caused CBA to register such as a large loan impairment expense in FY20, which may also have been a big factor on the CBA share price.

Despite all of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, CBA continued to see growth in key areas. Business lending grew by $11 billion, which was more than 3x the system. Home lending and household deposits both increased by $31 billion, which represented 1.2x system growth.

However, the bank said that its net interest margin (NIM) was 2.03% in FY21. This represented a reduction of 4 basis points. The bank explained that group NIM declined due to higher liquid assets and the ongoing impact of a low interest rate environment.

Could shareholder returns boost the CBA share price?

Well, on the day of the result, CBA shares did climb 1.5%.

Its profit wasn't the only thing that the bank revealed. It declared a full year dividend of $3.50 per share. That represented a 17% increase on FY20.

CBA also said that its common equity tier 1 (CET) capital ratio was 13.1%, an increase of 150 basis points. This was above APRA's 'unquestionably strong' benchmark of 10.5%.

The bank also announced the intention to conduct an off-market buy-back of up to $6 billion of CBA ordinary shares.

There is no CBA share price decided yet for the buy-back, it will be conducted through an off-market tender process which will open on 30 August 2021.

CBA Chair Catherine Livingstone said:

CBA's strong capital position and our progress on executing our strategy mean that we are well placed to continue to support our customers and manage ongoing uncertainties, while also returning a portion of surplus capital to shareholders. After careful consideration, your board has determined that the buy-back is the most efficient and value-enhancing strategy to distribute CBA's surplus capital and franking credits.

Is the CBA share price a buy?

Numerous brokers still rate CBA shares as a sell, despite the recent decline.

For example, Morgan Stanley rates CBA as a sell with a price target of $90. It doesn't believe market's high price for CBA is good value with its limited growth outlook.

The brokers at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) also believe that CBA is a sell, with an even lower price target of $88.50. Macquarie thinks that CBA's revenue growth isn't strong enough for the valuation and margins could continue to be challenged.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Bank Shares

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Own NAB shares? Here's your half-year results preview

What does the market expect from this banking giant next week?

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Bank Shares

Why is Westpac stock beating the other ASX 200 banks today?

Why is this bank outperforming the others?

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Dividend Investing

NAB stock: Should you buy the 4.7% yield?

Do analysts think this banking giant is a buy for income investors?

Read more »

Three colleagues stare at a computer screen with serious looks on their faces.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares charge higher despite $164m profit hit

What's impacting the bank's profits in FY 2024?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

Are ANZ shares a top buy for dividend income?

Can we bank on ANZ shares for passive income payments?

Read more »

Accountant woman counting an Australian money and using calculator for calculating dividend yield.
Bank Shares

How much do you need to invest in NAB shares for $12,000 in annual dividends?

Enjoying $12,000 in annual dividend income is no easy feat...

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

Is the CBA share price heading for a fall?

Experts are still saying CBA shares are a sell.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Bank Shares

Sell Bank of Queensland shares before they crash

Now is not the time to buy this bank's shares according to a leading broker.

Read more »