Up 5%, Treasury Wine (ASX:TWE) share price continues its climb

The Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price continues to push higher after yesterday's investor presentation. Let's take a look.

| More on:
Cork popping out of wine bottle.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) shares are continuing to climb today following the company's investor day presentation on Thursday. At the time of writing, the Treasury Wine share price is trading 5.09% higher at $10.74. This comes after the wine giant added almost 3% to its value during yesterday's session.

Why the Treasury Wine share price is pushing higher 

The Treasury Wine share price is now up almost 8% since Wednesday's close after the company's investor day presentation highlighted key earnings and operational updates. 

Treasury Wine appears to be paving a new growth story beyond its historical dependency on the Chinese market. The investor day presentation noted the "effective closure of [the] Chinese market to Australian COO [country of origin] wine" with a renewed focus for its premium portfolio in core geographies including North America, Europe and Asia (ex-China).  

The presentation forecasts FY21 earnings before interest, tax and SGARA  (the difference between the fair value of harvested grapes and the cost of harvested grapes) to be in the range of $495 million to $515 million. This represents growth of around 33% compared to a year ago. 

What brokers are thinking 

After reviewing the company's strategy and earnings update, Macquarie retained a neutral rating with a $10.50 target price. Despite the Treasury Wine share price currently trading above this, the broker's commentary was largely positive. 

Macquarie noted that Treasury Wine's EBIT guidance of $495 million to $515 million was 8% ahead of the broker's forecast. Macquarie also highlighted the company's global supply chain optimisation program, which is expected to deliver annualised benefits of more than $75 million, an increase from the prior guidance of $50 million. 

Macquarie highlighted Treasury's 2025 strategy, "focused on growth brands and distribution in priority markets to drive premium wine consumption and offset the impact of China". 

Foolish takeaway 

Today's gains will come as welcome news for shareholders after the Treasury Wine share price faced multiple sharp selloffs due to the imposition of Chinese tariffs. Judging by the upswing in the company's shares late this week, investors appear buoyed by Treasury's new growth story.

Motley Fool contributor Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited and Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Broker checking out the share price oh his smartphone and laptop.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 2 ASX shares to buy and 1 to hold

Which ones are buys and which one is a hold? Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Morgans gives its verdict on 3 ASX shares

Here's what the broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this beaten down ASX 200 stock is a buy

This blue chip could be worth looking at following recent weakness.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Man looking happy and excited as he looks at his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Want silver exposure? Morgans says this ASX silver stock is a buy

The broker thinks this could be a high-risk, high-reward option for investors.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

What is Bell Potter saying about this high-flying ASX 200 share after its 140% rise?

Bell Potter has been looking at the metal detector manufacturer's performance this financial year.

Read more »

Arrows pointing upwards with a man pointing his finger at one.
Resources Shares

BHP share price tipped to rise to $56: expert

Amid rising commodity prices, 6 brokers have updated their ratings and 12-month share price targets for BHP.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this ASX 300 stock is dirt cheap with 30%+ upside

The broker thinks the market is under-appreciating this stock.

Read more »