The Treasury Wine (ASX:TWE) share price lifts 4% on earnings update

The Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price is ignoring the weak ASX200 following a positive financial update

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price is higher after the company announced key financial updates in its investor day presentation

Smiling person with tattoos enjoying a glass of wine with a group of others.

Image Source: Getty Images

What's driving the Treasury Wine share price? 

Treasury Wine's investor day presentation includes a much needed financial update following China's tariffs on Australian wine exports and the collapse of the A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price on Monday. 

Expected FY21 earnings before interest, tax and SGARA (the difference between the fair value of harvested grapes and the cost of harvested grapes) is reported to be in the range of $495 million to $515 million. These figures are ahead of current market consensus expectations, representing a growth of 33% in 2H21 compared to the prior corresponding period. 

From a margins perspective, Treasury Wine provided targets for its new operating divisions. This included Penfolds targeting 40-45% EBITS margin, including investment to grow distribution. Treasury Americas looking to maintain its 25% EBITS margin ambition. And finally, the Treasury Premium Brands targeting EBITS margin in the high teens. 

The business as a whole has undergone a rapid transformation after its fall out with China and a renewed focus on growing premium and luxury offerings. The company is undergoing a global supply-chain optimisation program expected to deliver annualised benefits of at least $75 million by FY23, up from the $50 million announced previously. 

In the long-term, Treasury Wine is targeting the delivery of sustainable top-line growth and high single-digit average earnings growth. To drive its long-term financial objectives, the company aims to continue the premiumisation of its sales mix, expand group EBITS margin to the target of 25% and restore its return on capital employed (ROCE). 

Overall, the market appears to be pleased with where the company is headed from both a strategy, operational and financial perspective. The Treasury Wine share price has pushed 4% higher at the time of writing to $10.30. Meanwhile, the  S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has slumped 0.60%. 

What about China? 

Surprisingly, there was very little mention of China within the investor day presentation slides.

The company notes the "effective closure of Chinese market to Australian country of origin (COO) wine" but describes this situation as one that has exposed previously under-recognised opportunities. The presentation frequently used the term "ex-China" to discuss growth opportunities for regions such as South East Asia, India, Japan and Korea. 

Foolish Takeaway

The Treasury Wine share price is higher following the company's clear roadmap to deliver an improved financial performance without a significant dependency on China. 

Looking ahead, investors can expect the company to focus more on its premium portfolio and e-commerce with a focus on North American, European and Asian (ex-China) markets. 

Motley Fool contributor Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended A2 Milk and Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
52-Week Lows

Down 43% this year, this ASX tech stock is now back at January 2025 levels

Megaport shares are down 43% this year as weak momentum continues.

Read more »

A couple sitting in their living room and checking their finances.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CSL, Magellan, and Woodside shares

Do analysts think these blue-chips are in the buy zone? Let's find out.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Bendigo Bank, EBR Systems, Strickland, and Woodside shares are rising today

These shares are rising on Thursday. But why? Let's find out.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Orora, Select Harvests, Tamboran, and WiseTech shares are sinking today

These shares are under pressure on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Broker Notes

Up 32% this week, are Guzman Y Gomez shares a good buy today?

A leading analyst delivers his outlook for Guzman Y Gomez shares.

Read more »

A boy with sad eyes pulls the zip over his mouth and nose while doing up a large jacket where the collar stands up at head height.
BNPL shares

Zip shares plunge again after yesterday's 19% surge. Here's what changed

Zip shares tumble as ceasefire hopes fade and volatility returns.

Read more »

Close-up photo of a human hand with $100 bills offering the money to another human hand.
Capital Raising

Why this ASX energy stock just crashed 17% after a blockbuster year

A major capital raise sends Tamboran shares down 17%.

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell? Bubs, Soul Patts, and Endeavour shares

Experts have reviewed their ratings on these ASX shares.

Read more »