Affirm shares are surging, why is the Afterpay (ASX:APT) share price left behind?

The Afterpay (ASX: APT) share price is down 6.9% this week despite US-listed Affirm charging 20% higher in the past 4 trading sessions.

| More on:
Two boys in baskets on skateboards race each along a road.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price has found itself sliding 7% this week in stark contrast to its buy now, pay later (BNPL) rival in the United States.

The performance of US-listed Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: AFRM) is going gangbusters, with the Affirm share price up ~20% in the last four trading sessions to US$77.97.

Despite BNPL shares largely moving hand-in-hand, here's why the Affirm share price might be coming out ahead this week.

Why the Affirm share price is outperforming 

Recent acquisition targeting online returns 

The Affirm share price is likely being propped up this week by the company's $300 million acquisition of Returnly on 21 April.

Returnly allows eligible consumers to receive an instant merchant credit upon initiating a return, allowing them to order a new or replacement item immediately. The company takes on the product return risk and settles the order in real-time, making the return and exchange process seamless and helping merchants drive higher repurchase rates.

Affirm observes that an estimated $428 billion in merchandise was returned to retailers in 2020.

Affirm is still playing catch up against the Afterpay share price 

Taking a look at the bigger picture, Affirm's shares have slipped more than 45% from its February highs of US$146.90 and are down 15% since its first day of listing, where it closed at US$91.10.

By comparison, the Afterpay share price is down 25% since its all-time record high of $159.00.

Markets aren't made equal 

The broader market could be a driving force behind Affirm's rebound. 

The tech-heavy NASDAQ-100 (INDEXNASDAQ: NDX) has significantly outperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) in almost any time frame. The Nasdaq has increased 2.60% in the past four trading sessions, up ~9.60% year-to-date and up ~44% since its pre-COVID high. 

By comparison, the ASX200 is ~0.25% higher in the past four trading sessions, up ~5.25% year-to-date and down 2.25% since its pre-COVID highs. However, the ASX200 may not be a good representation or a driving force for Afterpay, given its weighting towards financials and mining. 

The S&P/ASX200 Info Tech (INDEXASX: XIJ) is down 4.50% year-to-date and up 32% since its pre-COVID highs, highlighting an underperformance in both a shorter and longer time frame. 

This outperformance and more rich valuation of US-listed shares is also a driving factor of why the Afterpay share price is eyeing a US listing

Afterpay still fetches a higher valuation 

With a market capitalisation of $33 billion, the Afterpay share price is still the most richly valued BNPL stock, trading at approximately 67 times FY20 revenue compared to the 39 times of Affirm. 

Motley Fool contributor Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on BNPL shares

A young woman smiles as she rides a zip line high above the trees.
BNPL shares

Why did Zip shares rebound 19% this week?

FY26 has been volatile for this ASX BNPL stock.

Read more »

Happy woman in purple clothes looking at asx share price on mobile phone
BNPL shares

Zip share price plunges 30% in a month but fundie tips 'meaningful upside' ahead

After 110% share price growth in FY25, Zip shares have failed to maintain the momentum in FY26.

Read more »

People sit in rollercoaster seats with expressions of fear, terror and exhilaration as it goes into a steep downward descent representing the Novonix share price in FY22
BNPL shares

$10,000 invested in Zip shares in January is now worth…

Zip shares have had a rollercoaster of a ride over the past 12 months.

Read more »

Stock market crash concept of young man screaming at laptop on the sofa.
BNPL shares

Why is the Block share price crashing 14% on Friday?

Investors are punishing Block shares on Friday. But why?

Read more »

a young woman holds her hand to her ear and leans sideways as if to listen to something that's surprising her as her eyes and her mouth are wide open.
Financial Shares

Why are Zip shares down 23% in a month, and what was revealed at the AGM today?

The buy now, pay later operator conducted its annual general meeting on Thursday.

Read more »

Upset woman with her hand on her forehead, holding a credit card.
BNPL shares

Why did Zip shares tumble 12% in October?

After surging more than 300% since April, why did Zip shares tumble in October?

Read more »

A young boy sits on his father's shoulders as they flex their muscles at sunrise on a beach
Broker Notes

Macquarie initiates coverage of Zip shares with outperform rating and predicts 17% upside

Is it time to buy now on these BNPL shares?

Read more »

Buy now, pay later written on a smartphone with a shopping cart symbol at the bottom.
BNPL shares

Up 237% since April, Zip shares lifting today on big US news

Zip shares have more than tripled investors’ money since April.

Read more »