Kogan (ASX:KGN) share price crashes 13% on Q3 update

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) share price is crashing 13% lower on Friday after releasing a disappointing third quarter update today…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price is well and truly out of form on Friday.

In afternoon trade, the ecommerce company's shares are down 13% to $10.80.

This means the Kogan share price is now down 58% from its 52-week high.

Shattered investor with head in hands, with ASX chart in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Kogan share price crashing lower?

Investors have been heading to the exits in their droves today after Kogan became the latest ecommerce company to release a disappointing third quarter update.

This follows similarly poorly received releases by Redbubble Ltd (ASX: RBL) and Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW) earlier this week.

What did Kogan report?

For the third quarter of FY 2021, Kogan reported gross sales growth of ~47% and revenue growth of ~65% across its businesses.

This was driven by a 77% increase in active customers over the prior corresponding period to 3,215,000 for Kogan.com and 742,000 for Mighty Ape.

This compares to active customers of 3,003,000 for Kogan.com and 719,000 for Mighty Ape at the end of December.

Earnings decline

While the above looks very positive, it went downhill quickly from there. Which is why the Kogan share price is crashing lower today.

Although its gross profit rose over 54%, its adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) fell more than 24% compared to the prior corresponding period.

This decline was driven by its core Kogan.com business, which reported a significant increase in operating costs. This led to this side of the business posting an adjusted EBITDA decline of more than 42% for the period.

What's causing this?

Kogan explained that during the quarter customer demand fluctuated below the levels seen in the prior nine months. As a result, the company was required to store larger than expected levels of inventory.

This led to Kogan incurring high storage expenses and demurrage fees.

The company has been progressively working towards optimising the inventory position to reflect current market conditions. However, this is being done by increasing its promotional activity, which could weigh on margins in the near term.

Also weighing on its performance is price inflation. This is being seen for many products currently being planned for reorder in advance of the peak Christmas trading period.

Is the Kogan share price in the buy zone?

Brokers have yet to react to this update, so it is difficult to say whether the Kogan share price is now in the buy zone.

But prior to today, Credit Suisse had an outperform rating and $20.85 price target and UBS had a neutral rating and $15.10 price target.

Both price targets are significantly higher than the current Kogan share price of $10.80.

James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Temple & Webster Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Temple & Webster Group Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Fallers

A man holds his head in his hands after seeing bad news on his laptop screen.
Share Fallers

3 ASX shares down at least 50% in FY26

Let's see why these shares were sold off during the last financial year.

Read more »

Side-on view of a devastated male investor laying his head on his laptop keyboard
ASX Share Market News

5 biggest losers on the ASX 200 in FY26

The worst performers include 2 sector leaders, and all 5 stocks more than halved in value.

Read more »

A man dressed in a business suit freefalls from a rocky cliff with a grey sky background.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, WiseTech and Judo shares are leading the ASX 200 lower this week

WiseTech, DroneShield, and Judo shareholders have had a week to forget. But why?

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why Judo Capital, Minerals 260, Santos, and Worley shares are dropping today

These shares are under pressure on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward.
Share Fallers

Why Aurelia Metals, Beach Energy, IAG, and Rio Tinto shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. What's going on?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Centuria Capital, Iluka, Metcash, and Reliance Worldwide shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough session on Tuesday. What's going on?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Humm, Metcash, PLS, and WiseTech shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A bored man sits at his desk, flat after seeing the latest news on the share market.
Share Fallers

Why Aeris, Newmont, PLS, and REA Group shares are tumbling today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »