ASX weakness could be met with $19bn "dividend bonanza"

The drop in the market could soon be met with a circa $19 billion wall of capital as investors collect their second biggest dividend checks in history.

| More on:
A young entrepreneur boy catching money at his desk, indicating growth in the ASX share price or dividends

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The drop in the market could soon be met with a circa $19 billion wall of capital as investors collect their second biggest dividend checks in history.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) tumbled 1% in morning trade. If it closes in the red, this will mark its third consecutive day of losses.

Naysayers believe that the latest sell-off is an ominous sign and the start of a long-awaited market correction.

ASX dividend bonanza

But not all experts are convinced. In fact, Bell Potter's high-profile institutional dealer Richard Coppleson believes the market drop could be short-lived due to a "dividend bonanza".

He wrote in his daily Coppo Report that total dividends declared from last month's reporting season is the second highest on record at $26.9 billion.

The largest was two years ago when ASX shares handed out $27.8 billion in the half year.

Biggest weekly dividend payout from ASX shares

Most of these dividends will be paid in the week starting 22 March. There are 75 ASX companies that are slated to pay out $12.3 billion next week alone.

These include ASX dividend kings like the BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price, Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price and Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price.

The week after will see another 48 ASX shares return $6.3 billion to shareholders. There's every chance that most of this cash could find it's way back into the market. I mean where else would investors park the cash in this near zero-rate environment?

ASX shares would look particularly enticing if the market was to pull back further, in my view.

April is a good month for ASX shares

It's also worth pointing out that the month of April tends to be a positive period for the ASX. In the past six years, our market has only fallen once in April, according to Coppleson.

This was back in 2015 when the ASX 200 retreated 1.7%. However, the index rallied substantially every April from 2016. The "worst" positive April was in 2019 when the top 200 benchmark added 2.3% for the month.

As you may have guessed, the best April was last year when the ASX 200 surged 8.8%. This was following the bottom of the COVID-19 bear market.

Foolish takeaway

The ASX dividend shares recovery is also a bullish signal for investors in itself. Companies will only increase their dividends if they are feeling confident about their trading outlook.

ASX company boards know it's a cardinal sin to cut dividends and will only do so if their backs are to the wall.

They could have held off increasing their dividends if they thought more tough times were ahead. But most didn't.

This isn't to say that we won't be facing more market turbulence ahead. Remember the saying "sell in May, go away"?

But those with a longer investment horizon should be feeling upbeat enough to put their cash to work if share prices weaken further.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of BHP Billiton Limited and Telstra Limited. Connect with me on Twitter @brenlau.

The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

A young smiling couple out hiking enjoy a view from the top of the mountains.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The pre-Christmas Eve session was kind to investors.

Read more »

Businesswoman holds hand out to shake.
Share Market News

Scentre Group brings new partner into Westfield Sydney in $864m deal

Scentre Group has sold a 19.9% stake in Westfield Sydney to Australian Retirement Trust for $864 million, highlighting its capital…

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Broker Notes

Experts name 3 ASX 200 shares to sell now

Analysts are feeling bearish about these popular shares. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Opinions

Is WiseTech a buy, sell or hold in 2026?

The software company has faced several headwinds this year.

Read more »

Two cheerful miners shake hands while wearing hi-vis and hard hats celebrating the commencement of a HAstings Technology Metals mine and the impact on its share price
Share Market News

Perseus Mining upsizes debt facility, boosting liquidity for growth

Perseus Mining upsizes its debt facility to US$400 million, giving it more than US$1.2 billion in available liquidity for future…

Read more »

A young woman drinking coffee in a cafe smiles as she checks her phone.
Share Gainers

Why 4DMedical, Core Lithium, Fenix, and Goodman shares are storming higher today

These shares are having a strong session. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Aeris Resources, Capricorn Metals, Paradigm, and Silver Mines shares are sinking today

It hasn't been a good session for owners of these shares.

Read more »

green arrow rising from within a trolley.
Opinions

My 5 top stocks to buy in 2026

After market volatility, here are 5 ASX stocks I’d be happy to own heading into 2026.

Read more »