Why this fundie tips Australian Vintage (ASX:AVG) shares

Citing a much higher earnings potential and a shift away from bulk wine to branded wine, this fundie likes Australian Vintage.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

When you think of ASX listed wine shares, Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) is likely the first one to come to mind. And for good reason.

The iconic Aussie wine company has a market cap of more than $8 billion, with a portfolio of globally recognised names including the likes of Penfolds, Beringer, Lindemans and Wolf Blass.

But as you likely know, Treasury Wine has been struggling to diversify from its dependence on the Chinese market, following import restrictions from the Chinese government.

Which brings us to a lesser-known ASX wine share, Australian Vintage Ltd (ASX: AVG), with a market cap of $202 million. You may be familiar with the company's McGuigan Wines brand.

Why this fundie likes Australian Vintage shares

Simon Mawhinney is contrarian fund manager Allan Gray Australia's chief investment officer. According to the Australian Financial Review, Allan Gray owns 19.6% of Australian Vintages shares.

Why?

According to Mawhinney:

It's always been our view that Australian Vintage's earnings potential was much higher. It still trades at a hefty discount to its Net Tangible Assets and appears cheap to us, on a (price earnings) multiple of 10 times its most recent earnings guidance. It looks a lot cheaper than similar wine companies in Australia and elsewhere.

The AFR notes that Australian Vintage has run into some snags in past years, with grape-supply contract issues seeing the company enter the lower-profit margin bulk wine market.

But as Mawhinney points out, that's no longer predominantly the case:

The company has spent a lot of energy exiting those significant, onerous grape contracts. The majority of its wine is now sold in some branded form. That should make its earnings less volatile and improve returns over time.

Australian Vintage share price snapshot

Without a doubt it's been a good 12 months for Australian Vintage shareholders, with shares up 61% since 10 March last year. For comparison the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up 16% in that same time.

Year-to-date the Australian Vintage share price is up 25%. Based on the current price of 73 cents per share, Australian Vintage pays an annual dividend yield of 3.8%.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

A young well-dressed couple at a luxury resort celebrate successful life choices.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors kept up the selling this session.

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Morgans says these ASX 200 shares can rise 20%+

The broker says these shares could offer major upside.

Read more »

Three women athletes lie flat on a running track as though they have had a long hard race where they have fought hard but lost the event.
Broker Notes

Brokers rate 2 ASX All Ords rippers of 2025: Is their phenomenal run over?

Both of these ASX shares more than tripled in value last year.

Read more »

a woman puts her hand to her chin and looks to the side deep in thought as though pondering something significant.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 gold shares to buy and 1 to sell: experts

After exceptional share price growth for 2 years, experts say investors need to choose their gold stocks carefully.

Read more »

Bored man sitting at his desk with his laptop.
Share Fallers

Why 4DMedical, ARB, Inghams, and Qoria shares are tumbling today

These shares are under pressure on Tuesday. What's going on?

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment at their office.
Share Market News

Why Bellevue Gold, DroneShield, Hub24, and Telix shares are storming higher today

These shares are rising on Tuesday despite the market weakness.

Read more »

Keyboard button with the word sell on it, symbolising the time being right to sell ASX stocks.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 materials was the best sector of 2025 but it's time to sell these 3 shares: broker

Morgan Stanley has just updated its ratings and 12-month price targets on 3 ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

A red heart-shaped balloon float up above the plain white ones, indicating the best shares
Dividend Investing

Why this could be the best ASX dividend stock to buy today

There are few ideas that match this option for dividend investors.

Read more »