The sector that'll grow 480% this year, expert says

Can you smell that? That's the fragrance of a booming industry, which is still in a startup phase in Australia.

| More on:
cannabis leaves on a rising line graph representing growth of ASX cannabis share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

There is a sector in Australia that's about to grow its revenue by 478% in the current financial year, according to one analyst.

Consumer research firm IBISWorld revealed Tuesday that the medical cannabis manufacturing industry is currently experiencing a boom despite the still-remaining legal hurdles.

"The strict regulatory framework regarding the manufacture of medical cannabis products has limited the sector's growth over the past five years," said IBISWorld senior industry analyst Will Chapman.

"However, the recent determination by the Therapeutic Goods Administration to allow over-the-counter [cannabidiol] products to be sold without a prescription is expected to drive significant revenue growth in the years ahead."

The industry produces medicines and consumables based on one of two ingredients extracted from the cannabis plant: cannabidiol (CBD) and tetrahydrocannabinol (THC).

CBD is a non-psychoactive ingredient used as a pain killer and an anti-convulsant. THC is the stuff that gives you "a high" but can be used to treat pain and nausea, low appetite and insomnia.

Recreational use for cannabis has been legalised in Canada and some US states. There is no sign of such a development yet in Australia, but IBISWorld reckons this won't stop local cannabis businesses from growth.

"It will take time for new medical cannabis products to be approved, but medicines derived from cannabis will eventually appear on pharmacy shelves," said Chapman.

Banks are offering massive finance to cannabis companies

The sector in Australia is still very much in the startup phase – so it's coming off a low base. 

Nevertheless, after seeing total revenue of just $5.4 million in the 2020 financial year, IBISWorld has forecast the current year will end with $31.2 million.

But there's still plenty of growth to come, it reported.

"Overall, medical cannabis manufacturing revenue is projected to rise at an annualised 79.1% over the five years through 2025-26, to $575.2 million," said Chapman.

"IBISWorld anticipates employment in this industry to reach 1,500 by 2025-26."

There are a few cannabis businesses listed on the ASX.

The Motley Fool reported last month Zelira Therapeutics Ltd (ASX: ZLD) had a stunning 2020, with the share price spiking up 67%. Althea Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: AGH) returned a nice 14% to its investors over the calendar year.

IBISWorld singled out Cann Group Ltd (ASX: CAN) as a "major player" in the Australian industry, with a 24% market share in the 2020 financial year.

Privately owned Little Green Pharma was also named by the analysis firm as a player to watch.

Banks have already recognised the huge potential, according to Chapman, lending out large sums to cannabis startups.

"The growth opportunities in the budding cannabis industry have not gone unnoticed by Australian financiers. In March 2020, start-up CannaPacific secured a $3.5 million debt facility from Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC). Cann Group secured a $50 million credit facility from National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) in November 2020," he said.

The ultimate milestone

Recreational legalisation may remain politically unpalatable in the near future in Australia. But the local industry's current focus is to get a cannabis-based medicine on the Australian register of Therapeutic Goods for domestic supply.

There is currently none on that hallowed list.

"For many start-up cannabis businesses, the ultimate goal is to have the medical benefits of cannabis recognised and their products accepted among medical professionals," Chapman said.

"Achieving the listing of cannabis products on the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme would be a major win for cannabis products."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

What is Bell Potter saying about this high-flying ASX 200 share after its 140% rise?

Bell Potter has been looking at the metal detector manufacturer's performance this financial year.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Share Market News

Monadelphous secures $300m Rio Tinto contract

Monadelphous secures a $300 million Rio Tinto contract, strengthening its maintenance services position in Australia’s resources sector.

Read more »

a uranium-fuelled mushroom shaped cloud explosion surrounded by a circle of rainbow light with a symbol of an atom to one side of it.
Opinions

What's next for the best-performing ASX 200 stock of 2025?

This ASX stock boomed in 2026.

Read more »

Woman thinking in a supermarket.
Dividend Investing

I'd buy this ASX dividend stock in any market

This business is a great option for dividends.

Read more »

Two kids are selling big ideas from a lemonade stand on the side of the road for cheap!
Share Market News

After crashing 8% yesterday, should investors buy the dip on these ASX 200 stocks?

These stocks could be a bargain today.

Read more »

A woman is excited as she reads the latest rumour on her phone.
Share Market News

These ASX 200 stocks are already up 20-30% in 2026! Are they a must buy?

These stocks have captured tailwinds in two winning sectors.

Read more »

A young boy dressed in a suit and glasses that are too big for him sits at a desk and holds up a trophy representing the top 10 ASX shares today
Share Market News

These 3 ASX 200 shares led their sectors last year. Are they still good buys?

These stocks had the strongest capital growth within their sectors in 2025. Experts reveal their ratings for 2026.

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop. A financial graph is superimposed across the image.
Opinions

3 reasons Xero shares are a screaming buy right now

Here's what I expect from the tech stock this year.

Read more »