How a stock market recovery could boost my chances of making a million

A stock market recovery could mean improving investor sentiment and stronger economic conditions, in my view. This may make it easier to make a million.

illustration of the words '1 million' in gold with confetti surrounding it

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A stock market recovery has always taken place following previous bear markets. As such, the long-term prospects for indexes such as the FTSE 100 Index (FTSE: UKX) are relatively attractive.

Certainly, some stocks may experience further challenges due to risks such as the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. However, buying them at a discount to their intrinsic values could mean capital appreciation potential that makes it easier to generate a portfolio valued in excess of a million.

Improving investor sentiment in a stock market recovery

A stock market recovery can encourage investors to become more optimistic about the future. They may see the value of their own holdings increase, and determine that further gains are possible. A rise in share prices may also remind them that the stock market operates in cycles. No downturn or upturn has ever lasted in perpetuity. However, it is easy to forget this during periods of extreme market performance. As share prices rise, investors may become less risk averse. This can help to sustain a bull market over the long term.

As such, holders of today's cheap stocks could benefit the most from improving sentiment. Such companies may currently be relatively unpopular due to their weak near-term outlooks. However, as investors become less risk averse, they may begin to focus on undervalued companies to a greater extent. This may mean that investors who have purchased cheap stocks during the 2020 stock market crash see the value of their portfolios increase in a stock market recovery.

Stronger economic conditions after the stock market crash

A stock market recovery is often linked to the world's economic outlook. If investors believe that economic conditions are improving, they generally become more bullish about equities.

Improving economic conditions suggest that the operating environment for businesses is likely to strengthen. This may mean that those companies which have struggled to post rising sales and profit this year are able to deliver stronger financial performances. This may help to justify even higher share prices, since a higher earnings per share figure equates to a higher share price when its multiple of earnings remains constant.

Clearly, company operating conditions can change quickly in a stock market recovery. However, the economy's past performance suggests that they are likely to rebound after the challenges experienced in 2020. Therefore, investors who have purchased struggling companies this year may benefit from an upturn in their operating outlook in 2021 and beyond.

Making a million in a stock market rally

Even if a stock market recovery only allows an investor to generate the market rate of return, they can still build a large portfolio over the long run. For example, the stock market has produced an annual total return of around 8% over the long run. Such a rate of return would turn $100,000 into $1 million within 30 years. Similarly, a $750 monthly investment would be worth a seven-figure sum over the same time period at the same return.

However, through buying today's cheap stocks and holding them ahead of a long-term stock market recovery, it may be possible to earn a higher return. Investors who have purchased undervalued stocks this year could stand to benefit the most from a likely improvement in investor sentiment and company operating conditions in the coming years.

Motley Fool contributor Peter Stephens has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Value Investing

a smiling picture of legendary US investment guru Warren Buffett.
International Stock News

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Is Betting Big On AI. Here's The Stock To Watch

Berkshire has a track record of making big investments into durable businesses with strong cash flows.

Read more »

the australian flag lies alongside the united states flag on a flat surface.
Value Investing

S&P 500 hits another record. Where I still see value in the US market

I still see plenty of value on Wall Street.

Read more »

ANZ ASX 200 banks capital return Group of investors madly grabbing for cash on city street.
Value Investing

2 ASX value stocks to buy while everyone else is selling

Are these two stocks some of the most undervalued businesses around?

Read more »

Woman in celebratory fist move looking at phone
Value Investing

3 compelling ASX value stocks to consider this week

ASX value investors may wish to take a closer look.

Read more »

Happy couple doing online shopping.
Value Investing

Top value ASX shares I'd buy now while they're trading below fair value

These businesses have plenty of potential to deliver good returns, in my view.

Read more »

Smiling couple looking at a phone at a bargain opportunity.
Value Investing

2 ASX value shares for 2025

Both of these stocks seem too cheap to ignore.

Read more »

A woman wine tasting in a bottle shop.
Value Investing

ASX value shares rated as broker buys

The sell-off has opened the window for value plays to shine.

Read more »

A senior couple sets at a table looking at documents as a professional looking woman sits alongside them as if giving retirement and investing advice.
Value Investing

Forecast earnings growth of 10% a year but down 11%, is now the time for me to consider this ASX 200 high-flyer?

Despite recent good news, the shares are down...

Read more »