Will the Fortescue (ASX:FMG) share price outperform in 2021?

Could the Fortescue share price continue to climb higher in 2021 and beyond? Here we take a closer look at the Aussie iron ore producer.

| More on:
man jumping from 2020 cliff to 2021 cliff representing asx outlook 2021

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I think the Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price can outperform in 2021. The Fortescue share price is up 49.9% this year and is streaming ahead of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

That might make some investors wary of buying in, but I think there's a lot to like right now.

What does Fortescue do?

Fortescue is one of the largest iron ore producers in the world. It's part of the 'big four' alongside BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) and Brazil-based Vale.

The Aussie mining group recently reported full-year production of 178.2 million wet metric tonnes of iron ore. That saw Fortescue's revenues increase by 29% to US$12,820 million as net profit after tax jumped 49% to US$4.7 billion.

Why the Fortescue share price can outperform in 2021

I think there's a lot to like about the Fortescue share price for 2021 and beyond.

Strong iron ore prices are being predicted by not only the market but the federal government. The commodity is reportedly set to underpin the FY21 budget and help pull Australia through a recession.

If that proves to be the case, it would be good news for Fortescue. The Aussie miner has managed to dodge much of the scrutiny faced by the likes of Rio Tinto thus far.

The BHP share price has lagged Fortescue largely due to its petroleum segment struggling thanks to weak oil prices.

I also think Fortescue has the history and tact to manage its relationship with China. China is by far the largest purchaser of Australian iron ore products which makes it a key customer.

There's also the metrics to support the Fortescue share price being a buy. The Aussie miner's shares are trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 7.4x with a 10.9% dividend yield.

BHP shares trade at 16.6x earnings with Rio Tinto at 15.3x, both with lower dividend yields. That to me says that Fortescue shares could outperform and be an option for both dividend and growth investors in 2021.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Four people on the beach leap high into the air.
Opinions

4 reasons why I think BHP shares are a must-buy for 2026

The mining giant's shares are now 20% higher than this time last year.

Read more »

Miner holding a silver nugget.
Resources Shares

Up 300% over a year, this minerals explorer still has further to go, one broker says

Recent silver and tin exploration results are encouraging.

Read more »

A miner holding a hard hat stands in the foreground of an open-cut mine.
Resources Shares

Dateline shares halted as investors await key announcement

Dateline shares are halted as investors await a potentially market-moving announcement.

Read more »

Engineer looking at mining trucks at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Why this fund manager is buying BHP shares

A leading fund manager expects BHP shares to deliver more outperformance in 2026. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Three women athletes lie flat on a running track as though they have had a long hard race where they have fought hard but lost the event.
Broker Notes

Brokers rate 2 ASX All Ords rippers of 2025: Is their phenomenal run over?

Both of these ASX shares more than tripled in value last year.

Read more »

Keyboard button with the word sell on it, symbolising the time being right to sell ASX stocks.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 materials was the best sector of 2025 but it's time to sell these 3 shares: broker

Morgan Stanley has just updated its ratings and 12-month price targets on 3 ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

Woman with spyglass looking toward ocean at sunset.
Resources Shares

Forecast: Here's what $10,000 invested in Fortescue shares could be worth next year

Let’s dig into the potential for the miner in the year ahead.

Read more »

Happy miner with his hand in the air.
Resources Shares

BHP shares at 52-week high: Here's why I'm not buying

Is it too late to hop on this speeding train?

Read more »