Is the Qantas (ASX:QAN) share price a cheap buy?

Why the Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price could be a good buy after being beaten down by the coronavirus pandemic in 2020.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price has had a tough year. Shares in the Aussie airline are down 43.6% to $4.04 per share as of yesterday's close.

Clearly, the travel industry is one of the hardest hit by the coronavirus pandemic and subsequent restrictions. I'd consider travel alongside the likes of entertainment, energy and hospitality in terms of those doing it tough.

So, the Qantas share price is clearly under pressure. But despite some short-term challenges, is now the time to pickup Qantas shares for a bargain?

A jet plane takes off.

Image source: Getty Images

Why the Qantas share price could be cheap

For one thing, I think there is implicit government support for the Aussie airline. I can't see the Federal Government letting Qantas fold given its proud history and the effective duopoly in the Aussie travel market.

Of course, everyone thought much the same with Ansett. But times have changed and the impacts of COVID-19 won't last forever. I think there is strong implicit support to get Qantas through to the other side of this.

That all combines to help the Qantas share price and the risk-return characteristics. On top of that, I think the company is proactively managing its balance sheet with careful capital management.

That includes the airline parking much of its fleet in the Mojave Desert and looking to move its headquarters out of Sydney

Cost cutting is key right now given the limited cash coming in the door. The group announced a $1.9 billion equity raising in June to help strengthen its balance sheet and accelerate its recovery from the pandemic.

All of this tells me that the Qantas share price could have a lot of upside with carefully managed downside. No one can predict the future, but I think there is a clear strategy to manage the airline out of this crisis over a 3-year span.

Foolish takeway

It's hard to look at the Qantas share price as a bargain based on short-term returns. However, I think the airline can return to its former glory as a leading carrier and strong ASX dividend share in the medium to long-term.

It's certainly a punt in the current climate, and perhaps I'd wait until the economic picture is more clear in early 2021, but Qantas could be a bargain for $4.04 per share.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

An older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks.
Share Fallers

Why Catalyst Metals, G8 Education, Meteoric Resources, and Westgold shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

ASX share investor sitting with a laptop on a desk, pondering something.
Share Fallers

CSL shares crash to a 9-year low. Is it time to sell off my shares?

What's next for the beaten-down ASX biotech stock?

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Beach Energy, Domino's, Origin Energy, and Pantoro Gold shares are dropping today

Why are these shares under pressure? Let's find out.

Read more »

Frustrated and shocked business woman reading bad news online from phone.
Gold

Why is this $1.5 billion ASX 200 gold stock tumbling 8% today?

Still up 31% in a year, this ASX 200 gold stock is getting hammered today. But why?

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why Cochlear, Karoon Energy, Origin Energy, and WiseTech shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. Let's find out why.

Read more »

An arrow crashes through the ground as a businessman watches on.
Share Fallers

After falling 43% in a week, are Cochlear shares now a buy?

Is this drop a warning sign?

Read more »

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Brainchip, Fortescue, IGO, and Life360 shares are tumbling today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

a woman sits next to her computer screen with her head in her hands with the screens slowing graphs on downward trajectories.
52-Week Lows

Can the beaten-down CSL share price ever reach $300 again?

CSL is near decade lows. Can it ever climb back?

Read more »