Why I like the Santos share price over Woodside

The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price has slumped 29.4% but I still think it could be a good relative value buy among ASX energy shares.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price has been hit hard in 2020 while Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) shares have also slumped.

An oil price war and coronavirus pandemic have hammered the ASX energy shares lower. However, there are a couple of reasons why I prefer one big producer over the other.

Why I like the Santos share price over Woodside

For starters, the relative valuation metrics seem to point to Santos over Woodside right now. I'm particularly interested in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio.

Given the current market conditions, a P/E ratio can be a little misleading or unreliable. However, I think it still has some value when comparing two companies in the same industry.

The Santos share price trades at a P/E of 12.9 compared to 39.9 for Woodside. That to me says there's a chance of more bang for your buck with Santos.

Both of these companies are enormous independent oil and gas producers, with Woodside ranked first and Santos ranked second.

That means we should see a large earnings hit for both producers in August. Woodside has already announced a record A$4.37 billion after-tax impairment loss thanks to falling energy prices.

Santos also announced a non-cash impairment charge of US$700-800 million (A$975-1,115 million).

That means the relative August earnings strength could be the key to deciding which ASX energy share to buy.

The Santos share price has slumped 29.4% in 2020 and is down 36.1% from its 52-week high.

It's a similar story for Woodside with the ASX energy share falling 40.7% in 2020. Woodside shares are now down 43.6% from their 52-week high.

I think Woodside is arguably more of a speculative buy than Santos given the heavier falls. The fundamentals remain similar but Woodside could have more upside given its larger operations.

Given the expected volatility, I still think the Santos share price could be a better relative value buy as it currently stands.

Foolish takeaway

With travel and manufacturing activity remaining muted, I still see pain ahead for the Woodside and Santos share prices.

However, long-term investors willing to ride the storm could benefit to the upside when energy demand returns.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why KMD, Tamboran Resources, Whitehaven Coal, and WiseTech Global shares are falling today

These shares are out of form on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Dateline, Karoon Energy, Lindian, and PEXA shares are falling today

These shares are missing out on the good times on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Share Fallers

These were the worst-performing ASX 200 shares in March

These shares were out of form in March. Let's see why investors sold them off.

Read more »

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why 4DMedical, New Hope, Santos, and St George Mining shares are dropping today

These shares are under pressure on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A woman is excited as she reads the latest rumour on her phone.
Share Fallers

These 3 dirt-cheap ASX shares are tipped to climb another 50-90%

These shares are now trading at super low prices.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Share Fallers

Why 4DMedical, Brainchip, Catapult, and Star Entertainment shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why>

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Hub24, Syrah, and Weebit Nano shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A worried woman sits at her computer with her hands clutched at the bottom of her face.
Share Fallers

These 3 ASX 200 shares have hit fresh multi-year lows: Buy, sell or hold?

One of these stocks has crashed over 50% over the past year alone.

Read more »