Earnings preview: What to expect from the Woolworths FY 2020 result

Here's what to expect when Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX:WOW) releases its full year results for FY 2020 later this month…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Later this month all eyes will be on the Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price when it releases its full year results.

The conglomerate is scheduled to release its results on 27 August 2020.

Ahead of the release, I thought I would look to see what the market is expecting from the company.

What should you expect from the Woolworths full year result?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, it is expecting the conglomerate to record solid growth in sales in FY 2020.

For the 12 months ended 30 June 2020, the broker expects Woolworths to record a 5.9% year on year increase in sales to $63.52 billion.

A key driver of this growth is expected to be a very strong increase in Australian Food sales during the year. Its analysts expect the segment to report comparable store sales growth of 7.2%, bringing its total sales to $41,878.5 million.

Goldman believes that its Big W, NZ Supermarkets, and Endeavour Drinks businesses will be supporting this growth. It is forecasting sales growth of 8.9% for NZ Supermarkets, 8.6% for Endeavour Drinks, and 7.2% for Big W.

While these businesses are benefiting from the pandemic, its Hotels business has been impacted greatly due to closures. As a result, the broker is forecasting a 21.5% decline in Hotels sales to $1,311.6 million in FY 2020.

What about its earnings?

Unlike rival Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL), Goldman Sachs isn't expecting Woolworths' profits to grow in FY 2020. This is due partly to additional COVID related costs and also its new enterprise agreement.

The broker has pencilled in a 2.6% increase in Australian Food segment earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to $1,905.6 million on a pre-AASB16 basis. On a post-AASB16 basis, Australian Food EBIT is expected to be $2,198.4 million.

And although solid EBIT growth is also expected from Endeavour Drinks and NZ Supermarkets, and the Big W brand is expected to become profitable at long last, a sharp decline in Hotels EBIT is expected to weigh on its profit result.

Goldman expects Woolworths' underlying net profit after tax to be at $1,572.7 million, or $1,699 million on a pre-AASB16 basis. This represents a 3.1% year on year decline.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET and Woolworths Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ASX Share Market News

A woman with strawberry blonde hair has a huge smile on her face and fist pumps the air having seen good news on her phone.
ASX Share Market News

ASX 200 technology and healthcare shares continued their comeback last week

ASX 200 tech stocks rose 8.2% and healthcare increased 5.5% over the week.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Male doctor in a lab coat working at laptop looking serious.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: What is Bell Potter saying about CSL shares?

Bell Potter has been looking at the biotech giant ahead of its results release.

Read more »

A bored woman looking at her computer, it's bad news.
Share Fallers

These were the worst-performing ASX 200 shares in July

These shares had a tough time in July. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Newmont, Rio Tinto, and Santos shares

Morgans has updated its view on these mining shares.

Read more »

Happy work colleagues give each other a fist pump.
Share Gainers

These were the best-performing ASX 200 shares in July

These shares had a month to remember. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Male investor holds a magnifying glass to his eye.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy in August

Three broker buy ratings worth a closer look this month.

Read more »

An old-fashioned panel of judges each holding a card with the number 10
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX scraped a win this Friday to close the week.

Read more »